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hlcater

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Everything posted by hlcater

  1. hlcater
    150kts FL. No SFMR data so im interested to see what the sonde shows. 0.85 reduction is 130kts.
  2. hlcater
    I’d not be surprised to see the true intensity here north of 140kts barring any marked changes prior to the 00z fix
  3. hlcater
    The eye is also too small for an annular storm currently. Annular storms tend to have a relatively low ratio of eye:storm.
  4. hlcater
    This latest euro run is probably going to be a landfall, if not it will be very close.
  5. hlcater
    Yea could be a threat to the antilles and bermuda, but idk, a landfall seems unlikely with the way that the east coast trough/ cut off ULL is modeled. Need a more progressive pattern and that system to lift out and let a ridge build in over top in order to get a bonafide landfall imo
  6. hlcater
    larry 2.0
  7. hlcater
    Time for MI folks to ride the LRC all winter!
  8. hlcater
    god im in a coma for today. rain should be nice tho
  9. hlcater
    Been spoiled locally the past few seasons. While I'd love for that to continue, we're due for a dud.
  10. hlcater
    Clear evidence of a hurricane at the mouth of Matagorda Bay. Elevation 7m. Assuming they see this observation, they'll upgrade.
  11. hlcater
    My guess is it gets bumped to 100mph at the next advisory.
  12. hlcater
    Things @Windspeed really hates to see....
  13. hlcater
    Yea earlier today I was skeptical that this was worth being named, but you cant really argue with the radar imagery and obs. Pretty solid little TS, no ifs ands or buts about it.
  14. hlcater
    Line.
  15. hlcater
    lol
  16. hlcater
    Yea. These will go on the price tag.
  17. hlcater
    The damage tag for this storm will be one of the greats. Thinking north of 50bn is basically locked in.
  18. hlcater
    fair enough
  19. hlcater
    Do we need threads for every birdfart swirl out in the middle of the atlantic?
  20. hlcater
    It did in grand isle. Water topped Humphress's cam and it was 14ft ASL.
  21. hlcater
    god what a chad
  22. hlcater
    Pressures havent risen so far.
  23. hlcater
    No one will ever top the Mexico Beach cam.
  24. hlcater
    14 foot surge already is very respectable. IIRC surge shoots way up right as the eye passes. Still a bit out from that yet.
  25. hlcater
    How high is the cam above sea level? Not how high on the pole, but relative to sea level.
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