sbnwx85
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Everything posted by sbnwx85
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18z Ukie a touch stronger/northwest with the low Saturday night.
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Can we combine the Ukie with the HRRR front end thump?
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Current mood.
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IWX calling for 4” so I’ll prepare for 2”.
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The HRRR is intriguing. 6+” in Southwest Michigan by Saturday morning. We get sleet just south of the border here in Indiana. A nice swath of 3+” in Chicago area.
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Got to 3” after this morning’s lake effect. On to the next one.
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2.7” as the storm pulls away. Hoping to eek out another half inch or so from ye ole lake effect overnight.
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2.2" on top of the cars in the parking lot. 4" in the grass. Take your pick. Edit: I'll get an accurate measurement when I get home tonight.
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I've said some nasty things about the Euro recently and I'm sorry for what I said. Hoping we can put our differences aside.
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NAM'd.
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Light to moderate snow. 31 degrees. It's not accumulating very efficiently yet but we've managed about a half inch so far.
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Good info as this band appears to be flocking this way.
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Got a DAB so far with this initial band.
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Well whatever gets me more snow.
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Hoping the weaker/SE trend of the winter kicks again once more.
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We have flurries.
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High risk, high reward with this one. That OP run on the GFS dumps on Wisconsin and gets the rain/snow line through here. That followed by single digits could create a glacial snowpack. The lake-effect potential behind this isn’t great but not bad for February. Usually the lake is too cold by now but single digit or low teens temps over a lake in the mid to upper 30’s is enough.
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It’s go time.
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Divided in half.
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I’d make sweet love to that 0z gfs run.
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As currently modeled... and I'm sure it'll change 19 times... looks like a long duration snow event for parts of the sub starting early Saturday and ending Sunday with lake effect snow.
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12k NAM still has it. 3k NAM instead has a 5”+ stretch from Chicagoland into Michigan.
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All models now picking up on a band of 6"+ from South Bend to the thumb of Michigan... except the sad Euro.
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Trash model. Shell of its former self. Sad!
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My rule is wait to rely on until 24 hours before a storm (a rule I sometimes forget to follow).
