sbnwx85

69 (nice) degrees in South Bend. Daily records for this week are well into the 70's, so barring overachieving temps I don't think we'll hit any records. But this is a memorable stretch of beautiful weather for this time of year.

I'm going to my cousin's wedding tomorrow. It's an outdoor ceremony and all year we were preparing to need coats and/or raingear. They picked one heckuva weekend. Love, temps in the 70's and an open bar. What more can you ask for?

I work 2nd shift at a TV news station, so a storm that begins in the late afternoon or early evening. Preparations for the storm dominate headlines all evening and it starts just as the 4, 5 and 6 newscasts begin. The worst hits after I get home and we end up with 20+ inches with 40 mph winds and thundersnow. My co-workers need to pick me up to get into work the next day because I can't get out of the apartment complex. All this as lake-effect wraps around the backside the following day dropping another 6-12 inches. I've experienced parts of these scenarios during a storm, but not all at once. Although, I've always been able to get myself into work. I'd also love to experience a monster lake-effect event. I grew up in Northern Indiana, but just outside the best lake belts. I'd love to get in on a 30+ lake effect storm one day. I was in nearby Elkhart for this storm in 2011 and only get a measly 8 inches. https://www.weather.gov/iwx/20110108_les

The "2nd severe weather season" is certainly upon us. Potential could be there next week. So far, SPC waiting for consistency among the models.

Saw some flakes mixing in before bed last night and again this afternoon on the way to work. Nothing accumulated in my immediate area, but a county east had anywhere from a dusting to 3 inches.

Think I’ll call it a night. I’m not holding my breath on getting snow. Too close to the lake this time around. If only it were 10 degrees colder.

Video from Fort Wayne tv station. Saw a 3.8 inch report in Whitley County, IN, too. And some photos in Syracuse, IN

The main show is slowly drifting south. Still all rain here.

11,000 NIPSCO customer without power across Northern Indiana. https://www.nipsco.com/outages/power-outages

I think most areas switched back to rain for now except for near Fort Wayne and points south (!) where it appears to be snowing. But where ever the dominate snow band sets up overnight will create a mess if it's stationary for even 3 or 4 hours. I want to believe in the HRRR because it bullseyes me the last four runs.

This is going to be a problem: At 5:45 PM EDT, 2 N North Webster [Kosciusko Co, IN] OFFICIAL NWS OBS reports NON-TSTM WND DMG. TREE LIMB 6-12 INCHES IN DIAMETER DOWNED FROM THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY WET SNOW AND WIND. At 6:30 PM EDT, 2 N North Webster [Kosciusko Co, IN] OFFICIAL NWS OBS reports HEAVY SNOW of 2.40 INCH. TOTAL SINCE APPROXIMATELY 4:30 PM EDT. POWER FLICKERING FROM WIND AND HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATION. At 6:30 PM EDT, 2 N Tippecanoe Lake [Kosciusko Co, IN] NWS EMPLOYEE reports HEAVY SNOW of 2.00 INCH. TOTAL SINCE APPROXIMATELY 4:30 PM EDT. POWER IS FLICKERING FROM HEAVY SNOW AND WIND.

First WWA of the season! Some areas in the CWA already with close to an inch of snow. Still measuring rain IMBY. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Northern Indiana 521 PM EDT Mon Oct 17 2022 INZ005-006-008-014-017-024-104-116-216-MIZ078-079-180500- /O.NEW.KIWX.WW.Y.0012.221017T2121Z-221018T0500Z/ Elkhart-Lagrange-Noble-Marshall-Whitley-Wabash- Eastern St. Joseph IN-Northern Kosciusko-Southern Kosciusko- Cass MI-St. Joseph MI- Including the cities of Elkhart, Goshen, Nappanee, Lagrange, Topeka, Shipshewana, Kendallville, Ligonier, Albion, Plymouth, Bremen, Culver, Columbia City, Tri-Lakes, South Whitley, Wabash, North Manchester, South Bend, Mishawaka, Lakeville, Granger, Syracuse, Milford, North Webster, Leesburg, Warsaw, Winona Lake, Silver Lake, Mentone, Dowagiac, Cassopolis, Edwardsburg, Marcellus, Sturgis, Three Rivers, White Pigeon, and Mendon 521 PM EDT Mon Oct 17 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow at times mixed with rain. Additional snow accumulations of up to three inches. Localized amounts up to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Portions of northern Indiana and southwest Michigan. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on very slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the evening commute. Slow down and give yourself extra time to get to your destination. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling.

Heaviest snow bands may end up east of my locale based on recent trends. Elkhart County looks to be the bullseye.

HRRR likely overdoing lake-effect like usual. But IWX issues statement for tonight:

Several inches of heavy wet snow on trees with leaves really, really does a lot of damage.

Lock it in. mode.

Hoping for heavy snow tonight followed by 70 this weekend. Autumn rollercoaster is at full power.

I’m hoping we can get a flow off the lake like this in a couple months when temps are about 20 degrees colder, but I’ll be out with my yardstick Tuesday morning. I moved on the Spring and now I’m near the Michigan border about four miles east of the SBN airport. I think someone will end up with a surprise two or three inches away from the lake given the dynamic setup.

I don't think you'll find one meteorologist who would have predicted tornadoes today in that area.

This is one of the highest observed wind reports I've ever seen: Heavy Rain Fog and Windy 75°F 24°C Humidity 96% Wind Speed E 86 G 123 mph Barometer NA Dewpoint 74°F (23°C) Visibility 0.50 mi Last update 28 Sep 3:54 pm EDT

Too bad it won't be 40 degrees cooler this weekend. That's a decent lake-effect set up here.

SBN reported wind gust of 47 mph. Seeing some other reports locally between 45 and 55 mph. Scattered reports of trees down across the county. Nothing widespread. Nice summer storm. Had some decent thunder and lightning last night, too.

Getting excited!

If you need your "tracking snow" fix, you can take a look at Alaska. Oh yea...that's the stuff.

Feeling good about today out here. Hoping for a localized windbag.