sbnwx85

Yeah, I was wondering what the deal was because Kuchera still puts SBN at 30 inches this run. I’m still trying to pick up my jaw off the floor.

Unless something changes drastically Wednesday alone should put down 6+ locally.

For the record I work at one of the tv stations in South Bend (in the news department…not a met) and I’m happy to say it’s not this station.

They may consider an advisory. Jackpot zone on both GFS and Euro about two counties south of me. Not that I would complain about a foot and a half of snow over two days. I think my all time personal record is 21ish inches New Years Blizzard of ‘99.

Just a slight wobble back north overall on the snow map compared to 6z on the latest GFS run.

GFS trending south the last couple of runs. Still monster totals.

#TeamICON

In all my amateur winter storm tracking days I can’t recall seeing a solution like the GFS is showing. Euro seems more plausible just based on what my unskilled eye has seen before but someone with more knowledge can weigh in. Hoping the GFS is onto something because I’d love to see a 30 burger next week.

Classic GFS vs Euro. Who will win this round?

Keeping with the theme.

Yeah it won’t be a very productive weekend with all the model watching.

The 00z GFS run would be a dream come true for me and many other snow lovers. Snow starts at about 2 am Wednesday here and doesn’t stop until Noon on Thursday. Lock it in.

Maybe I've been oblivious until now...but College of DuPage is now offering some Euro data for free including Kuchera snow rates. The 12z is just now running on the site, but it's resource for those that want to see those maps and don't want to pay for them. https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/

Taking a page from the SBN book.

Got a couple inches of fresh snow this morning. Hopeful for about another 4 inches from the lake tonight thru Tuesday night. That could bring total since Saturday night to 10 inches, but now I'm dependent on lake-effect which is like depending on one-ply toilet paper. You hope it holds together.

I’d eyeball about 3.5 inches around Mt. Prospect. Looks like about the same or maybe a touch more back home in Mishawaka. Next clipper and lake effect look promising on the HRRR and RAP.

Nice banding setting up around the Twin Cities.

Will be enjoying this one at the girlfriends house in the northern burbs. Picked a good spot.

Got about an inch from lake-effect overnight. It's surprising we're only an inch below normal for the month, so far. However, we are way below average for the season.

IWX feeling the frustration of this winter: Confidence rapidly diminishes with the hybrid clipper to follow early next week. This northern stream wave will have some pacific moisture work, with a separate leftover closed low over the Four Corners likely ejecting east-northeast through the TN/OH Valleys by around Tuesday. It would fit the trend this winter if fgen/WAA snow passes north (or clips our far northern zones) and deeper moisture with the southern stream waves gets sheared well south...keeping the snow drought going. This is actually the model consensus at this time, but still worth monitoring going forward given all the moving parts and large spread in solutions.

Got a dusting of lake-effect so far tonight and it's lightly snowing. Counting my blessings.

@Hoosier and I going to be on either side of a healthy lake-effect event this week.

Pain.