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sbnwx85

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Everything posted by sbnwx85

  1. Yeah it won’t be a very productive weekend with all the model watching.
  2. The 00z GFS run would be a dream come true for me and many other snow lovers. Snow starts at about 2 am Wednesday here and doesn’t stop until Noon on Thursday. Lock it in.
  3. Maybe I've been oblivious until now...but College of DuPage is now offering some Euro data for free including Kuchera snow rates. The 12z is just now running on the site, but it's resource for those that want to see those maps and don't want to pay for them. https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/
  4. Got a couple inches of fresh snow this morning. Hopeful for about another 4 inches from the lake tonight thru Tuesday night. That could bring total since Saturday night to 10 inches, but now I'm dependent on lake-effect which is like depending on one-ply toilet paper. You hope it holds together.
  5. I’d eyeball about 3.5 inches around Mt. Prospect. Looks like about the same or maybe a touch more back home in Mishawaka. Next clipper and lake effect look promising on the HRRR and RAP.
  6. Nice banding setting up around the Twin Cities.
  7. Will be enjoying this one at the girlfriends house in the northern burbs. Picked a good spot.
  8. Got about an inch from lake-effect overnight. It's surprising we're only an inch below normal for the month, so far. However, we are way below average for the season.
  9. IWX feeling the frustration of this winter: Confidence rapidly diminishes with the hybrid clipper to follow early next week. This northern stream wave will have some pacific moisture work, with a separate leftover closed low over the Four Corners likely ejecting east-northeast through the TN/OH Valleys by around Tuesday. It would fit the trend this winter if fgen/WAA snow passes north (or clips our far northern zones) and deeper moisture with the southern stream waves gets sheared well south...keeping the snow drought going. This is actually the model consensus at this time, but still worth monitoring going forward given all the moving parts and large spread in solutions.
  10. Got a dusting of lake-effect so far tonight and it's lightly snowing. Counting my blessings.
  11. @Hoosier and I going to be on either side of a healthy lake-effect event this week.
  12. It's pretty neat to follow a storm that impacts different parts the subforum twice...while completely missing half of the subforum.
  13. GFS gonna try and have me back in the game very soon.
  14. Would be nice to have the models ramp up an event as we get closer for once.
  15. Ended up with about an inch of wind-blown lake-effect. About 30 minutes to my northwest, Niles, MI got over 8 inches. A spot an hour north of me got 22 inches. Gotta love lake-effect.
  16. Keep that band moving south, please. So far just flurries here.
  17. Main lake bands stay to my north on this side of the lake through Thursday night. There should be some impressive totals under the main banding of snow in Michigan. Hoping to squeak out 2-4 here.
  18. Not advocating for a WSW in my county...but a little surprised IWX didn't go with one for LaPorte and Berrien. I think they'll do a little better with snow totals thanks to the lake.
  19. IWX going Winter Wx Advisory. Highest totals of 4 to 7 in northwestern counties. INZ003-004-MIZ077-078-010430- /O.NEW.KIWX.WW.Y.0012.220101T1800Z-220102T1200Z/ La Porte-St. Joseph-Berrien-Cass- Including the cities of Michigan City, La Porte, South Bend, Mishawaka, New Carlisle, Walkerton, Niles, Benton Harbor, St. Joseph, Fair Plain, Benton Heights, Buchanan, Paw Paw Lake, Dowagiac, Cassopolis, Edwardsburg, and Marcellus 316 PM EST Fri Dec 31 2021 /216 PM CST Fri Dec 31 2021/ ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches. Locally higher amounts possible, especially near Lake Michigan. * WHERE...In Indiana, La Porte and St. Joseph Counties. In Michigan, Berrien and Cass Counties. * WHEN...From 1 PM EST /noon CST/ Saturday to 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow, possibly mixed with rain at the start, will develop Saturday afternoon and may become heavy at times late Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening.
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