Eskimo Joe

Imagine if this supposed epic pattern in the long range is another head fake and we just flip to SER.

Man I'd love that. Clean pass to our south and cold smoke.

The advantage to several events is that we won't have Ji complaining for years because it was a wasted storm.

Low of 13. Actually feels like winter.

IMO, would much rather have a series of light to moderate events that doesn't wash the blocking away, in lieu of one big hit that melts off in 3 days.

It's reassuring to see what appears to be a lobe of the polar vortex drifting over Hudson Bay. Seeing 500 mb heights crash on our side of the globe is great.

Was living in York-New Salem and commuting to Gaithersburg. We had praying mantis on the Christmas garland it was so warm.

Euro says we all snow shower Christmas eve.

I was in Lancaster at Millersville for that event. We got 16" I believe but far eastern Lancaster (Gap, PA I think) got a 20" report as the got nicked a few times by the heavier bands. Ironically, up in PA the GFS came out with an early big storm that had something like 10" - 15" of snow from the turnpike south, backed off at D4, then came back at D2 with the exact same result. Harrisburg only got 5" or 6" out of it. We were really on the edge up here. Then it melted off in like 72 hours. But it was still a decent event! The two inch soil temps at Keedysville are down to 35° so that makes sense everything is accumulating more effectively.

The winter of 2015-2016 is a perfect example of this. It was a shutout until that one event saved winter.

Where are you seeing this?

Was just about to post this. I saw someone in here speaking about the fabled long range torch that just hasn't materialized thus far. My Co-Op station (RSTM2) has recorded 3 60+ degree days this December, which is less than previous years.

Of course. Not arguing with you at all

No that ridge along the Inside Passage up through Yukon helps drag polar air down.

Soil temps are torching still. We need rates as @wxmeddler stated earlier. https://mesonet.umd.edu/graphics/Soil_Temperature_10cm-plot.png

That's a KU look.

Only on the mulch and some grass in New Windsor. Ground temps are just too warm.

Legit SN in New Windsor. Grass and mulch caving.

Amazing how important elevation is in these part. 700 feet in New Windsor and it's TV Snow. Go 4 miles down the road towards Libertytown and it's light rain.

Looks like something trying to fill in over Baltimore County as well. Wonder if this inverted trough is setting up a few miles west?

Last couple of frames of the radar look decent for the northern folks.

Per SPC mesoanalysis, everyone west of I-95 is below freezing from 925mb on up. If there's any warmth it's only near the surface.