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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Use the cross section on GR and it looks like there's a decent hail core aloft.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    3D slice of the Hagerstown cell would imply hail suspended to around 30,000 ft.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Currently in Emmitsburg. Bring that storm on.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    LWX's balloon should be going up right about now.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Yes. The VIL on those storms is impressive.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    The downside to this event is that we need the higher end potential to be realized. It's been hyped so much now that for this to bust would erode public trust.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Latest HRRR is pretty underwhelming honestly.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Tornado Watch until 9pm.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Tornado warned storm approaching Garrett County, MD.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Next hour to hour and a half is key to get to convective temp. We seem to be running a few degrees too cool right now.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Looking more and more like a wind risk day. Storms in WV just aren't maintaining any respectable rotation.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Yea kind of wonder why so many people are worried about the tornado risk up towards DC.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    They might be waiting for the 18z IAD launch.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the cells firing in western MD and the WV panhandle are that lead cluster some of the CAMs were honing in on yesterday and this morning.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Starting to wonder if they're going to go 30% tor or something.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Discrete cell ahead of the main line in Charleston, WV. Already has "the look".
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Yea probably to coincide with the hatching on the meso
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Highly doubt it.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    First tornado warning of the day in far NW WV.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Northern end of that line went bonkers fast in WV.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    LWX launching a special 18z balloon.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Per the SPC mesoanalysis, we're losing convective inhibition pretty quickly. I'll be interested to see if we can hold off on any crapvection.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    First SVR warning of the day near Parkesburg, WV.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Thursday could another active day, but let's focus on today first.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Per the 12z sounding from IAD, today's convective temp is 90 degrees. We have a ways to go for heating if we want to maximize potential.
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