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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Or clouds. Or both.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Clouds and wind. Heck of a way to run a heat wave.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Big heat doesn't go quietly into the night.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    The year without a summer in DC and Baltimore.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Welcome to convection season. Without a regionwide trigger, it's few who feast while many suffer through famine.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    @Kmlwxdefinitely can see a westward moving outflow boundary from the first round of convection. Hopefully this can act as a mechanism for more storms later but I'm really pessimistic about it.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Don't think today is our day W of I-95.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    I truly hope this cooler summer is a sign that we are going to experience some sustained blocking this winter. It would be pretty terrible, but on brand, to see us flip to some raging +NAO and hostile PNA/QBO state this winter.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Bring it
  10. Eskimo Joe
    M1.3" Reisterstown in under an hour. Too much to fast.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the best instability will be from NE suburbs of DC into Baltimore and PA. New severe thunderstorm watch for PA until 5:00 am Fri, 7/21.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Mid level lapse rates appear to have strengthened and as @Stormchaserchuck1 just mentioned, Lift Index is rather robust.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Thank you.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    @Kmlwx I lost the OU CIMMS placefile for GR. Can you post it in here please?
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed. This event is climatologically abnormal, and we don't have the rocket fuel to really goose the storms up. Still, we have some decent mid level instability, a belt of shear, and some really solid DCAPE.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Wind probabilities are pretty high on that watch box and there's a decent number of LSRs coming out in MI, PA, and OH.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Some of the CAMs blow through a dying MCS after midnight tonight. We have a decent pool of mid level lapse rates ahead of this line per SPC mesoanalysis (maybe a bit of an EML?) and a lot of DCAPE. Might be an interesting night. At least we stand to get some rain.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    18z HRRR develops a nice MCS with a respectable cold pool and blows it through the region late tonight. Would at lesat be a nice bit of rain.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Good
  20. Eskimo Joe
    I was referring to everything getting swept out to sea this winter, but you do you.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Mean trough in the Midwest is too far east by about 200 miles. Preview of winter? Probably.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Statewide mesonet is in process. We're currently selecting sites statewide and hopefully will be getting physical stations jn the ground in the next 10 to 14 months.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Bust. Meso guidance is poo for.us today. Really not sure why the flood watch is still up. Hopefully we'll score today. New England is stealing our winter snow and summer rains now.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    It's 84 degrees at nearly 11pm. Something is going to give here.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    DCA M60mph National Mall (Smithsonian Castle?) M46mph
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