Eskimo Joe
-
Posts
21,980 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
-
^was just about to post that. Amazing how Ian keeps going east / north east.
-
One of the components of tropical forecasting that I've always found interesting is track bias. Some storms, no matter what kind of extra sampling or data ingestion, they will have a left or right track bias. You get that one model that waffles horrendously on intensity, timing, etc, but absolutely nails the track, or any wonky turns. It makes this field so humbling.
-
Maryland's USAR Task Force #1 was in Puerto Rico then did a turn and burn to go to Florida. We can't even get to these places but because some news station slipped through a restricted area they think everyone can. It gives a bad impression to the public.
-
Media's imagined timelines on urban search and rescue is. . . interesting.
-
We have epic blocking setting up. Winter is gonna be lit
-
Looks like high clouds from Ian will give us a nice sunset.
-
^yes that. Got a link?
-
I've noticed over the past year or two the Euro tends to be too high with QPF in the warm season beyond D4. When it's on an island with higher totals and D4 or further out, don't take it at face value.
-
There is actually. Folks have posted a link to a website that takes various remote sensing and NWP data and uses that to classify a storm on an X / Y plot as warm or cold core. I don't know the link, but it's a useful tool and would probably be a good visual explainer.
-
-
-
Tropicaltidbits or polarwx are good sites.
-
I know what I like.
- 544 replies
-
- 11
-
-
-
Let's go out with a bang this summer.
-
Ladder trucks run about $700k to $1 million. Lot of potential loss there.
-
18z GFS would imply Cat1 hurricane on 2nd US landfall.
-
Maryland and Virginia have sent a lof of logistics and staff down to you. Florida will bounce back quick.
-
Agreed
-
Numbers are going so fast because substations and main transmission lines are failing. Electric and telecommunications grids are taking a beating right now.
-
Big gusts coming in now
-
Big wind gusts coming in now.
-
GFS has this weird precip hole right over the metro. Wonder what 12z Euro will show.
-
