Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Wonder how long after Ian clears Cuba that we see an eye on visible satellite.
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Was wondering the same thing. If it pulls back over water, even briefly, would argue the freshwater inland flooding threat for the Carolinas increases.
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12z hurricane models. Looks like a decent interior rainfall setup for the SE.
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Yea that's my concern too, especially further inland.
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Recon can do a brief fix or data point if it's near the coast and there is a need (IE: rapid strengthening, expected turn, unusual feature) but it is not a common practice. Got to talk with the hurricane hunters when they were in DC the other year about it. There are 2 reasons for this: 1.) There is more turbulence flying over land than water. 2.) No terrain issues over water.
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Here we go
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Just need the remnant into Quantico, then a right hook east. Pivot, baby.
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NHC has been money on this system.
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^could you imagine that in this neck of the woods? Insane.
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18z hurricane models are more favorable for us, but I agree this is a painful setup to watch.
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Philippe works for NHC. He's a big brain tropical wx person and a must follow if your have Twitter.
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Ian Cat 2 based off the 5pm advisory from NHC.
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Ian's satellite presentation is looking better over the past couple of hours.
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From what I've been told, HMON/HWRF is not the best to use for intensity until the center of circulation has been established.
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Not to my knowledge. You are better off ignoring the NAM3k for tropical.
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Friendly reminder as we slowly draw closer to the shorter/mid range models:
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11am Public Advisory 11am Technical Discussion notes the expanded wind field and thus the Tropical Storm Warning is expanded.
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2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread
Eskimo Joe replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Mid Atlantic
Some are x4 daily
