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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Agree on Holstons Post. That's a Pin worthy if there ever was.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, I know. Just a bit irritated over the stretch we've gone through I suppose. In my long life I've lived through good streaks and bad one's. Forecasted back before a host of Model's were available as well new research information. We've came a long way but, there's times not much better. So many variables, minute factors that morph and become major player's in a relatively short time. Monkey Wrenches is a good term for them. Regardless of knowing these things, I always hated to fail in forecasting. I'm sure we all are pretty much that way.
  3. Daniel Boone
    It's about to the point to where I feel I'll be lucky to see an even Average Winter again considering my antiquity and agw along with SST'S continually working against us overall. Lol.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, let's hope the '94-95 and 97-98 one's in particular doesn't come back to haunt us.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Right on the money with analysis I believe. Exactly my take now Brother. As you mentioned earlier, we still have a shot or two of getting something by Christmas in lower elevations. Hopefully, we get some of that cold from Eastern Canada or at least System manufactured from aloft to get it done. It's still rather heartbreaking to see that 500 pattern and it be too warm in December !!
  6. Daniel Boone
    Looks like Eastern Canada will have a heavy Snow pack at least. If we can get ca drainage from there into storm systems riding up, may be cold enuff to get it done.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Not near the rain totals originally slated for much of the area either. Trough too positive tilt.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Several news sources video's up on YouTube. Traffic cam captures of Tornadoes and substations blowing.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Turning neutral tilt too late possibly.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Hope ur right. As of now, pretty much all models are getting it going too far East to benefit the Valley and Plateau. I'm hoping things trend West.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, the rest has anafrontal development further East. Hopefully they're off and it occurs sooner further west but, hopes are down for now.
  12. Daniel Boone
    That's rough stuff ! I hope/ pray for a speedy recovery.
  13. Daniel Boone
    If this were to pan out, Radiancewx and a couple other's would already have busted on the Seasonal Totals they are forecasting.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Thundersnow ftw !!!
  15. Daniel Boone
    Yep. Agree on that. Good sign.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Really backed off from 12z though. Hopefully, Nams onto something and as we get closer more anafrontal shows further sw as the cold is realized moving in sooner.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, it's like it's either showing the anafrontal not getting going until further north. Could be it's just not seeing cold enough air further south in the anafrontal area to change to snow very quick. Euro does have a warm bias as we know so, hopefully that's the case.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, I'm pretty confident of one or two decent Snows this Month at least. That 23-24 time looks intriguing to me as of now.
  19. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, agree. As of now, I think we have a decent shot at a White Christmas actually.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, I think that's one of the reasons the Nams up and down on Totals. T profile aloft and 2m along with surface T estimate. Rates will be a factor. Hopefully comes in a bit colder and quiker than currently progged and Rates are high so, we lower elevation folks can score.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Yeah man !!! Big change from recent years.
  22. Daniel Boone
    Good post and points man. Storm track is encouraging and the war actually appears to maybe be a bit east of the last bad years with it. SST's are somewhat different along the coast than previous times. The STJ probably will help keep it further East also wouldn't you think ? .
  23. Daniel Boone
    Lol. Yeah, you summed it up perfect over there. I'm actually leaning a decent Winter snowwise overall, even December ftm as I've alluded to before.. Have just began to see some truth to the Bluewave argument regarding the MJO and the problem the 500 MB has had characteristically as compared to Years with similar Enso as the WPAC/ IO are so warm it clearly shows a response . Domino effect west to East. Hopefully, the sure strength of the Nino and HLB can off set the forcing from that broad very warm SST Area. The fear in my mind would be an Alaskan Vortex in place of Aleutian LP. If HLB strong enough , that would keep that on back in the Aleutians. That's what I'm rooting for as a counter along with mainly Central based Nino forcing . ( in laymen's terms).
  24. Daniel Boone
    MJO seems to want to redevelop in IO as it starts to come out into wpac. Is there a huge underwater Volcano in the IO or something !?! I mean.. geeze. .
  25. Daniel Boone
    Fast flow coming into PNW looks like the problem; just shoving things along.
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