Daniel Boone

This is looking like an Ozarks Special aa far as major clean pass Snowstorm. Hello Springfield Mo and Mountain home Arkansas. Those places get some real whopper's sometimes. As far as our area, probably a sloppy mess with northern Areas still a decent amount of Snow and Ice. Kentucky should be a big winner as may be similar to January '94 setup.Snow wise as well. As we all know, this one's far from being clear-cut yet. Hopefully, we get a bit south and eastward with the heavy snow axis akin to the latest GFS but , further East. The Great Valley is always in danger of a warm nose, downsloping etc., regardless of a better Track as being between the Cumberlands and Smokies iverall really hurts the area irt Snow, as we all know.

That's all we don't need. Hopefully, enough cold press will allow for snow. Still plenty time to go to the earlier Icon Solution. Although, I must say it's worrisome to see it and the CMC go to the cutter ice possibility.

Only a couple duds in there snow wise. 1997 and 12-28-2000 as that went on to January 01. 1-97 featured major cold and Snow over the Northern Plains and Midwest; a typical Nina Winter.

It can help create cyclogenesis in the Gulf or along the frontal boundary.

Yeah, if it's latest depictions were to come to fruition...what a huge letdown !!!

GFS looks really wacked out . Looks like a trasher.

Wow. Canadian a deep south one, Icon on the Money for us, Gfs freaking far NW Cutter.

It has literally replaced the Euro in holding energy back in the SW..

Looks like it might be or mix.

Now that looks more like it.

Just got a quick heavy shower with strong wind and Pea sized Hail. Temp dropped to 42.6

Need to unload those big Snows over Missouri over our Area.

I know. I hope it all pans out and we get even more than advertised and experience a throwback rest of Winter.

You'll get your 3 and be happy with them.

Yeah, absolutely discusting for us Snow fans. Lol. Hopefully, not the case this time.

And the sad thing still is, most Outlets use it in their Outlooks. The local news, most Apps will reflect the GFS 12z in the 7 day Forecast.

We had a clean pass 7 inch Storm Dec 10 95. It moved ene and Roanoke got 10" from it. We had 1 inch on Christmas Morning that Year from a rain to snow changeover predawn.

Yep. Margie was who I watched as well. She did a great Job.

Remember, I called it first, lol.

Yeah, 1940 2nd here too. The cold late 70's stretch was, '77, 1, 78,3rd and 79 10th.

Great stuff John ! I don't have my own Data back that far. Glad you have that and share it.

They were all in the top 20 out of 130 years coldest( except'96 oddly' although the record cold that Year was early Feb). January 1961 was ranked 15th for Virginia. 16th in most of extreme SWVA. 85 was 4th, 77, 1st( not surprising) , 81 10th. 1970 6th and '96, 32nd. Here's a Link to Lee County. You can find yours on the Sites homepage. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/climate-at-a-glance/county/time-series/VA-105/tavg/1/1/1895-2024

It's the 18z so, less concern than when 12z or 0z. However, it does show that as one possibility although remotely so as all othe guidance is not showing that Option.

Hopefully the upcoming Pattern will deliver at least one true Miller A and dump on you man. You deserve it !

The positive NAO then is about the only visual difference as far as North America from what I can tell.