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Daniel Boone

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  1. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, was checking out the MA Sub earlier and they're pretty torn up regarding that. The GEFS is the terrible looking one. We can work with the other's. We definitely don't want that La nina Ridge dig that western Trough like GEFS indicating along with a - NAO. Then we have what killed us last year. Hopefully, that doesn't happen. Let's hope we score a couple times early January that way it'll be easier to take.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, a heavy shower quickly covered grass here. Looks like western Lee down through Hancock County is getting clocked with a strengthening training band. Also , area sinking south through Harlan County KY is moderate to heavy. Some areas will get a surprise accumulation tonight.
  3. Daniel Boone
    Snow began here in Lee County VA around 10:30. Temps running just above freezing so not sticking as it's not heavy enough to overcome the slightly above freezing T and warm ground. A dusting is at mountain around 2000 ft and up so far.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Snow began here around 10:30. Temps running just above freezing so not sticking as it's not heavy enough to overcome the slightly above freezing T and warm ground. A dusting is at mountain around 2000 ft and up so far.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Lt Snow began here around 10:30. Temps running just above freezing so not sticking as it's not heavy enough to overcome the slightly above freezing T and warm ground. A dusting is at mountain around 2000 ft and up so far.
  6. Daniel Boone
    Light snow began here around 10:30. Temps running just above freezing here. 34 now 33 at onset. Looks kike a dusting on mountain from 2000 ft on up so far.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, sadly not a very professional forecast at all.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Nice Toy !!!
  9. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, Bluewave will look like a genius.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Could be Strat goings on messing with the Models.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Sounds like me sometimes, lol.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Much of the moisture in the mid/ upper levels was used up with last System , as KMRX noted. However, alot of low level RH so, may be picking up on that being lifted.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, as most of us know, an SSW really fouled us up just as a great pattern was setting up a couple times the last several years. Timing of occurrence I suppose.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Wound up with just over a half inch Total here. Totally short changed. Those bands continued training S to N over same areas yesterday. When that one that soaked the plateau finally slowly made it over our area there wasn't much left of it.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Alot of winner's there. Surprised to not see '78 . The MJO phases were similar is what was intriguing with Jan. that year. Cold/snowy through those. I don't know if MJO is used in those packages.?. I see quite a few Nina and Neutral Enso in there as well. Those '60's one's were great as was '71. I'm with you on the extreme like '85 . Even if that pattern were carbon copied it wouldn't be as extreme as the Climate is a bit warmer now. That 77 wouldn't be as extreme either, obviously. Of course, would still be some cold stuff. Some other's in there that featured a turn to colder but, didn't yield much Snow. '88-'89 looks to be too with that. It was rather lackluster sadly. Only real decent snowfall was late February. 25th I think. 5-7" from a storm that started as sleet(ice pellets). Most of those on the list featured were good Snowfall wise.
  16. Daniel Boone
    Great work and analysis as usual Man! Some great Winter's featured that Pattern. Jan-Mar 1979 comes to mind. Even the great cold snowy Winter of 77-78 to some extent. Hints of 95-96 in there too. Hopefully that comes to fruition. If so, fun and games.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Exactly. Same deal with last System. This is 3 Months in a row of well below average Rainfall.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Really shafted here. Drought back to life. Just 0.30" System Total as of now.
  19. Daniel Boone
    The way things have gone for several years now, the MJO has tended to win. So, yeah it has the hot hand.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Should be mitigated and muted due to blocking if MJO is in warm phases at a decent Amp.. If goes circle of death aft ph 3 may not be much of a warmup at all.
  21. Daniel Boone
    A boom for you guys east side if Apps, bust western side as downsloping killed us. 0.30 Total here !
  22. Daniel Boone
    Makes sense.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Well if it's anything like it was with last weeks event, expect double the amounts shown. Snowhole basically going up through higher eles of Russell County too. I don't see how it came with that " conclusion". Lighter precip northern shield maybe . Downsloping ne valley , none central.?.. Probably just being GooFuS like last week.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Verbatim that should be all snow n and nw quadrant . Gfs did that with last ull , had rain over some areas that was all snow. Thicknesses clearly present snow. Boundary shouldn't be an issue then n and nw quadrant.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Merry Christmas everyone !
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