StormyClearweather

For those interested.

The amazing, incomparable, infallible, always right, never changing 6Z Weather Next took our light snow away, too.

12Z WeatherNext looked similar to, though a bit east of, 6Z. No idea on QPF, but shows light snow for most of us from roughly 0Z Saturday > 0Z Sunday.

Last Monday's 12Z GFS for this past weekend's storm: But yeah, would prefer every model agreed we's a gettin' a blizzy.

What a crazy map. On the bright side, ice looks like less of an issue for many further south.

Good lord.

Yeah, word on the street is it sucks at thermals, but we can get a dopamine fix out of it at least. I hate the NAM. It's only right when it fucks us.

I was so young; so naive.

RGEM looks a touch colder through 60 - still snow for most.

Okay I'm about to go super weenie here, but that's where I am mentally. You probably already know this, but per this paper, the FV3 is being retired as well when RRFS comes online: https://journals.ametsoc.org/downloadpdf/view/journals/bams/aop/BAMS-D-25-0323.1/BAMS-D-25-0323.1.pdf The RRFS switched to MPAS for v2, which is (I believe) what we're watching slowly roll in. Supposedly, even v1 outperformed most high-res models, with some reflectively issues that have hopefully been resolved per that paper. I'll stop now.

Taken literally and using Kuchera, FV3 has us at 4-6" at 7am. I'm not saying it's right, but that's what it says.

It literally has precip starting at 10pm in DC, but okay.

3K is definitely slower on the changeover, still has most of us in snow (including DCA) at 60.