StormyClearweather

3K NAM shows DCA going from 70 at 6pm to 37 at 7pm. Now that's a cold front.

Or maybe not!

12/5: 1.5" 12/14: 1" 1/1: 0.3" 1/17: 0.1" 1/25: 9.5" (5.5 snow/4 sleet est.) 2/6: 0.3" 2/22: 3.3" 3/2: 2.0" 3/12: 1.0" **Total: 19"**

12/5: 1.5" 12/14: 1" 1/1: 0.3" 1/17: 0.1" 1/25: 9.5" (5.5 snow/4 sleet est.) 2/6: 0.3" 2/22: 3.3" 3/2: 2.0" Total: 18.0" Surprising to me that I beat last year's 16.9" IMBY. Stuck around forever this year, but felt like less.

Never thought I'd say it, but I'm ready.

12/5: 1.5" 12/14: 1" 1/1: 0.3" 1/17: 0.1" 1/25: 9.5" (5.5 snow/4 sleet est.) 2/6: 0.3" 2/22: 3.3" Total = 16"

Drier and thus warmer for many. And maybe east too.

A WWII movie with a Met as the main character? I'm in!

I remember a storm not so long ago that the GFS showed as a blizzard in NC, and it was on an island. I think we know how that turned out. Any time a model is alone in showing an extreme solution, it's almost certainly not going to be right. Unless that solution is an extreme drought - then it's always right. I realize I'm stating the obvious, but I'm doing it as much for myself as anyone else, and I sure hope I'm wrong.

Sigh

Which is funny considering the bouncing around pretty much every model has been doing with this system, which we've been tracking for approximately six years. Except maybe the UKMET.

And the CMC is a no-go. She dead y'all. I blame the tarriffs for this.

A reminder that it could be worse: https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2026/02/11/restless-cranky-balmy-western-winter-leaves-many-loss/

Only 384 hours away!

AI GFS is suppressed. Double sucks because I was hoping for rain if we didn't get snow. SryNtSry.