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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Daily for the 14. Still no can kick.
  2. EastonSN+
    Yeah that looks similar.
  3. EastonSN+
    2000 through 2018 skewed expectations. 70 through 99 showed how these setups can fail/give us light to moderate snow.
  4. EastonSN+
  5. EastonSN+
    Before the 14th so would be a bonus if worked out.
  6. EastonSN+
    Only received 7 here. Unlike NEMO, the heaviest stayed east of the CT river.
  7. EastonSN+
    At least our area received a 6 to 12 event. The Philly area was expecting that and received nothing.
  8. EastonSN+
    Daily 14th post. Safe to say it's not getting pushed back or can kicked.
  9. EastonSN+
    Isn't that what we want? Less suppression.
  10. EastonSN+
    You know we've had it rough when southeast NJ is beating CPK.
  11. EastonSN+
    Unfortunately this happened a lot in the past (only producing moderate or minor events).
  12. EastonSN+
    That was the first time CPK breached 20 inches in four years. Unfortunately it was followed up by a 12.6 winter. In total part of a 10 year stretch of below average snowfall winters.
  13. EastonSN+
    Just looking at this again, CPK had 7 30+ snowfall winters from 55 through 69. More similarities between that period and 00 through 18.
  14. EastonSN+
  15. EastonSN+
    Daily ensembles for the 14th
  16. EastonSN+
    The hugger and the clippers have come back. There actually was a clipper a couple weeks ago.
  17. EastonSN+
    I think CPK getting to 50 inches is tough to do historically so perhaps not a great benchmark. From 1970 through 1999 CPK reached 50 inches 3 times, ironically 2 in the warmest period of the three (1990 through 1999). In fact in that 30 year period, only 3 years total went above 30 inches. By contrast, CPK went above 30 inches 13 times since 2000! In summation, it will be hard to determine who is right for the foreseeable future, since we are likely within another low snowfall period. We shall see.
  18. EastonSN+
    DC only needs 6 inches to reach average. That would add to it.
  19. EastonSN+
    Phase 3 is cold and it takes over 15 days to get into mid phase 3. Factor in a 5 day lag and you have a few extra days remaining in 3. Blocking seems more sustainable. MA is favored more sure, however we can still get moderate events. This is clearly a 1980s setup.
  20. EastonSN+
    Daily Feb. 14 post. All similar.
  21. EastonSN+
    Borrowed from the MA forum. Cold will not be the issue at all unless a storm over amplifiers. Unlikely as Bluewave pointed out with the Pacific. As Don noted a good shot at moderate events.
  22. EastonSN+
    It's plenty cold enough for the MA. The southeast would need timing with that look.
  23. EastonSN+
    This is EXACTLY what we witnessed 70 through 99. I mentioned probably 100 times. Cold and dry warm and wet over and over. SE slider or wound up cutter or Hugger. We thought the hugger was "extinct" (as well as the clipper), yet now they are back. History just repeats itself. I was thinking the ocean temps would hinder a repeat of that time period, and keep a semi permanent SE ridge to allow all those suppressed snowstorms to get us, however it's just the same. I really do feel good for the MA and SE though. While we wait and wait, they are still cashing in.
  24. EastonSN+
    The warming waters in the IO are helping us here
  25. EastonSN+
    This was my first foot plus storm since 1983 (had 11.5 in March 93 superstorm).
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