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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
  2. EastonSN+
    Heat island effect lol
  3. EastonSN+
    Yeah I was lazy, here is Kuchera. Would be best case for CPK and LI.
  4. EastonSN+
    Yeah I saw that. I think it comes down to the back end. How much is left and how much does the low deepen. I literally live 1.5 miles north of the Merritt lol.
  5. EastonSN+
    12 k was colder and snowier than 3k south of 84 FWIW.
  6. EastonSN+
    NAM a bit colder and snowier FWIW.
  7. EastonSN+
    Lol don't worry, just take a 4 hour drive south to the Delmarva they are above average snowfall for last few years. Heck even coastal North Carolina got hammered one storm.
  8. EastonSN+
    Yeah not feeling this one down here.
  9. EastonSN+
    I always take decadal stats from 0, i.e. 00/01, 10/11, 20/21, which would put this decade at 15.275. still bad but a bit better.
  10. EastonSN+
    Maybe, winters tend to have a theme. Hopefully next year is our next 20/21.
  11. EastonSN+
    Kind of a big cut back for coastal plain.
  12. EastonSN+
    If it does not work out we will get em next time.
  13. EastonSN+
    We had a high amplitude 1, 2 and 3 in January. The IO temps are rising fast which will increase 1,2 and 3.
  14. EastonSN+
    It's going to go through 1,2 and 3.
  15. EastonSN+
    Wouldn't shorter wavelengths help post 15th? Bowling ball lows.
  16. EastonSN+
    Complete opposite of the GFS suite.
  17. EastonSN+
    A smidge north and stronger than 6z, however, the ensembles tend to follow the op at this range.
  18. EastonSN+
    Really strange but it gives a little validity to the Canadian solution.
  19. EastonSN+
    Given the IO temps, I think higher amplitude in phases 1,2 and 3 are our best opportunity. Yeah phase 8 will be weak.
  20. EastonSN+
    I don't know how we can do worse than 4 above average snowfall seasons in 30 years. We had already 1 in 6 if we include this year. Also, the 90s only had 2 years above average in that 10 year span.
  21. EastonSN+
    It did move south wrt low pressure location. Yes weaker.
  22. EastonSN+
    Yeah, we lose with the GFS and the Canadian in opposite directions.
  23. EastonSN+
    Obviously I weigh the GFS higher than the Canadian, however there is no clear trend yet between the three major models. All depends on EURO. If it moves north than yes concerning.
  24. EastonSN+
    Lol the GDPS is a scraper. Actually south and weaker. 1 to 3 for central Jersey.
  25. EastonSN+
    Also, the GFS move SLIGHTLY north. It's not like it was a jump. Could be noise or a trend. Too early to tell.
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