EastonSN+
-
Posts
8,389 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by EastonSN+
-
-
-
Taken from the MA forum - I feel good for them, they have had it really bad WRT snowfall for years. Hopefully they can cash in during the next period as well and end up solidly above normal.
-
I mean, March 2015 and March/April 2018 were historic, March 2017 was solid and March 2019 was great for the northern half of the sub forum, so even if it's pushed back 2 weeks it can still produce.
-
EPS, GEPS and GEFS all are in alignment (save minor nuances).
-
Seems like the inverse of March from a decadal perspective.
-
March is an odd Month statistically. 2000s seemed to rarely snow in March while the 90s and 2010s seemed fairly snowy.
-
There is your MJO phases 8, 1, 2 (again same as we saw earlier). Also AO going negative. On a side note, we have obviously brought back the coastal hugger. Now, we have a clipper!! Both typical storms before 2000.
-
Completely agree. Also, Don mentioned in the beginning of the season "the elephant in the room", referring and listing 97/98. This has been 97/98 with an added cold shot that lasted approx 1.5 weeks. It's not over yet and we will likely get another week or so of favorable conditions, but who knows if we will get anything or the MA will get it again. Good for them.
-
Right, but that may increase snowfall in larger storms that are cold enough. Perhaps less storms but more snow and less suppression (SE ridge). Too early to tell. -
I mean, 2000 through 2018 was warmer than 55 through 69 so who knows.
-
How do we know that this will result in less snowfall? I.e. what if we lose the marginal events, but gain additional snowfall in larger events? What if the storms that hit the MA in the past hit us now? I do not think there is any definitive evidence that our average annual snowfall will be less. We are entering another terrible stretch between great stretches like 55 through 69 and 00 through 18, so it's magnified. Remember CPKs average annual snowfall from 70 through 99 was only around 21 inches.
-
Take a look at the plot and connect to START. Like train tracks.
-
Same exact thing happened with the last wave with 8. As long as we go through 1,2 and 3 we will have our shot, ans perhaps we will do a little better than the last stretch.
-
Firing up in phase 1 again as expected (Nittany - understood it's not the only driver). AO going slightly negative, NAO neutral (same with PNA).
-
This happened all year long in 97/98. Repetitive perfect benchmark storm tracks and nothing but heavy rain. People who were not old enough in 97/98 are getting the full experience now. Also, although it may be happening more often, we had perfect storm tracks with rain in the 70s, 80s and 90s outside of 97/98 as well. Perhaps I am not as worried since I lived through this before, however I am confident we will get into another 1955 - 1969, 2000 - 2018 period again. Problem is, the lull periods tend to be much longer than the snowy periods. I just hope it's not 30 years like 1970 through 1999 lol.
-
Delaware is beating most of us this year.
-
Seems like years where it repetitively snows on the Delmarva it won't here.
-
Borrowed from the MA forum. If it refuses to snow here let's root for NC!
-
The good news is this is not as bad as 97/98 where there was no hope (perfect benchmark rainstorms). This February has a better shot IMO.
-
This is the one I was referring to in 2022.
-
Here was one.
-
Your thinking of the 2021 storm. The storm I am referring to missed us south. In fact it was south of DC. Hammered south and central Virginia through Norfolk and the Delmarva.
-
The Jan 25/26 storm looks almost identical to the MA storm 2 years ago!
