I love the fact that we are heading into an El nino winter, however as we all know we have had some real furnace el ninos as well.
One question I have is how does this El nino look CURRENTLY compared to ninos of the past?
I believe 1997 (or 1998) was a strong El nino, however it was one rain storm after another. The constant rain kept overall temps a bit cool otherwise who knows how warm it would have been.
Looking at last winter, the RNA overruled a decent block. Also, and I am guessing here, I believe the blocking placement allowed high pressures to move east when storms "arrived". I believe more of a ride east of us would have helped lock in high pressure.
History has a way repeating, just hope it's more 95/1996 than 1997.