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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Hoping the 12Z EPS snow mean is as good. Unfortunately the OP didn't show much.
  2. EastonSN+
    Cold air will be in place from the negative EPO. As Blue Wave mentioned it's all about storm track for January and February. With cold air in place and the storm which will 90% be off the coast given where it's starting from it would 100% be all snow. Biggest issue is getting it up here. Remember 2013-2014 we had no blocking all winter and it was frigid with lots of snow.
  3. EastonSN+
    Did the 6z EPS come further north? The lack of blocking should allow the ability and potential for it to come a little further north.
  4. EastonSN+
    Thanks Bluewave. Seems this is the furthest west model now that the RDPS came east.
  5. EastonSN+
    Looking into February, although this depiction shows the EPO going positive, the trough south of Greenland, which has been there all season long, remains. This puts us on the right side of the gradient. Canada would be cold in this depiction and therefore we would have a cold air source. Verbatim a kind of dry look.
  6. EastonSN+
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  8. EastonSN+
  9. EastonSN+
    100% growing up it was always snow will be north and west of the Merritt parkway and 287. Never failed.
  10. EastonSN+
    The thing has been really steady throughout.
  11. EastonSN+
    This is exactly the type of system we could encounter with this setup.
  12. EastonSN+
    Kind of close....
  13. EastonSN+
    Yeah that was a depressing CMC run. This storm got warmer and Rainier and the next storm goes further South and misses us all together LOL.
  14. EastonSN+
    Hope CMC, which aligns with RGEM is correct on the next storm too as we get a moderate event.
  15. EastonSN+
    It's only the ICON so not too much weight but bumped NW again.
  16. EastonSN+
    This depiction would be ok for NW NJ, NW CT and past tapanzee bridge
  17. EastonSN+
    The reason there is trepidation is forky stated yesterday that this could easily be rain.
  18. EastonSN+
    Yeah I know I put too much stock in it, but forky yesterday saying it could easily be rain is still residing in my thoughts.
  19. EastonSN+
    We beat 4 inches in January 2022. I think we also had over 4 inches 2 years ago in 2023. Of course in 2021 we had one to two feet in one storm.
  20. EastonSN+
    That's the model my local cable news leverages.
  21. EastonSN+
    That's a big jump on the last frame. Really the standard Euro and eps are the biggest outlier. UKMET is a little better and closer to the coast from the European suite.
  22. EastonSN+
    Flat, however could be due model spread.
  23. EastonSN+
    Thanks Don. I am excited about the AI being so consistent. Of course the event hasn't happened yet however if the event is closest to what the AI has been showing, then we may have a more accurate closer range model which is a big win.
  24. EastonSN+
    Looks a tick closer in a bit more precip if I'm not mistaken.
  25. EastonSN+
    Cutting it really close now. Forky must have some model that comes out before we see them.
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