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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    If I'm not mistaken your referencing the 5-day window for an opportunity for a benchmark track/heavy snowfall correct? With regards to temperatures and light events like tonight, our window should extend another 10 days given that we still need to traverse through phases one and two, which I believe each phase has a muted Southeast ridge due to ridging out west.
  2. EastonSN+
    Looks like a nice coating to 3 inches for the northern half of the sub forum. Favored are the Northern areas of Westchester and coastal Connecticut.
  3. EastonSN+
    The wave looks a little stronger today as it heads toward phase eight. The eps at the bottom is showing signs of blocking in the trough migrating East.
  4. EastonSN+
    I don't think I've ever remembered a winter where it took so many events to reach 10 inches of snow.
  5. EastonSN+
    Not much
  6. EastonSN+
    One to three down to the CT Coast.
  7. EastonSN+
    More specific details on the other thread, however, a light snow event will happen tomorrow night.
  8. EastonSN+
    3K gets up to an inch to the North shore of Long Island, half an inch for Central Park and one to three for coastal Connecticut.
  9. EastonSN+
  10. EastonSN+
    NAM 12k that's up to a half an inch to Central Park. 1 to 3 coastal Connecticut.
  11. EastonSN+
  12. EastonSN+
    Agreed that the next two weeks are going to be a little tough for the general area. We should have a much better opportunity second half of February into March.
  13. EastonSN+
    HRRR has 1 to 3 CT coast. About an inch on the North fork of Long Island. A coating for the North shore of Western Long Island. About a half inch Westchester county.
  14. EastonSN+
    I think phases eight one and two as well as the length of the blocking time frame will easily lead into the second week of March.
  15. EastonSN+
    FWIW TWC is predicting one to three inches for the CP of Connecticut.
  16. EastonSN+
    You do not believe the mjo heading into phase 8 1 and 2 as well as the AO product to go negative on the ensembles is going to come to fruition? Or are you saying that early spring will follow that period?
  17. EastonSN+
    This times 1,000. I remember trying to get an all snow event was like pulling teeth.
  18. EastonSN+
    Starting to see the AO crash.
  19. EastonSN+
    Still on track timing wise. Weaker than earlier phases but still there and high enough of an amplitude to cause downstream effects, although muted.
  20. EastonSN+
    The setup of 94 was completely different than this year.
  21. EastonSN+
    14/15 was great too and colder. I had 20.5 IMBY
  22. EastonSN+
    That ended up being the most snowfall in my lifetime from March 1st onwards with 27 inches (almost a full season average). However, even 25% of the impact is a massive win. Will be interesting as it would align with phases 8,1 and 2.
  23. EastonSN+
    Weakening but still there and on target for late February.
  24. EastonSN+
    It's definitely going to get hit, hoping some semblance of the wave survives to affect our weather. That being said I still don't understand why phase one and two are not discussed more often. The rapidly rising Western Indian ocean temperatures should facilitate much stronger wave activity in phases 1 and 2 which are also colder phases. Also would explain why the deep South had a great winter and we had less precipitation which phase eight usually provides. The focus seems to be solely on lessening effects of phase 8 and greater effects of phases four five and six, which should not be the case when phases 1 and 2 should increase as well.
  25. EastonSN+
    Progression still on track for phase 8 in mid-February with a lag effect of the last week of February. It's definitely weakening however should still have an effect.
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