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Everything posted by EastonSN+
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Just for the northern MA and Northeast, thats a decent look for BN temps, albeit slightly.
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Great - another cold and rainy spring
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March seems to be decadal. 2010s had some great March months but the last one was 2019 where 10.4 fell in central park.
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Not liking this delay. Really want to avoid a cold April.
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Hopefully one more pass through 8 before the end of March. Although looking at this progression does not look promising.
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Is the RNA preferable for snow chances after mid month, or just less detrimental?
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Yesterday the AO was going positive...
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The AI.
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Familiar
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Interesting look on the Canadian
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Would NEMO as well as Feb. 2010 be SWFEs? Both primaries were north of us.
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Another Carolina Crusher?
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Thanks to Weather Will in the MA forum.
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Technically speaking it's a Miller B. Its less about cold air and more about track. Yes the blocking is breaking down at this point. However the temporary fast flow we are in can help shunt this east with a kicker before it can gain too much latitude. Also, looking at the ensembles the ridge is pretty far east which helps us here as well. Of course this is a single model run and far out so it will change dozens of times.
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I know it's the CFS however after a consolidation the PV takes the hit and the result below. Hopefully this happens a week sooner.
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If the season ended today, this decades CPK average snowfall would be 16.78 This is ahead of the first 6 years of the 70s at 15.85. This decade is also ahead with 1 above average snowfall season (0 for the first 6 years of the 70s). The 30 year 70 through 99 average was 21.91. Still behind that by 5.12.
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Why is this disappointing?
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Meh you get used to it. Happened a few times when I was growing up.
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Not saying THIS will happen, however bowling ball season is approaching.
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It really seems to be the big wildcard here.
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Plus we have this which apparently would affect us in March. Sometimes it works like 2018 Sometimes it doesn't like 2023.
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So assuming we are still on track for March blocking:
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Hey Don, how many winter months in a row have we been below average? I believe December January February and March last year were.
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Cold/dry warm/wet the pattern of the 70s and 80s.
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Was confused by the vibe of the forum. Seemed all the focus was on the warmup.
