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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    I must add, closer to the coast CAN still be snow for the CP if the storm is bombing.
  2. EastonSN+
    IF. IF this is the result it WILL snow in almost all of this forum. I will warn that there is a lean west on the individuals.
  3. EastonSN+
    Hopefully we can trim away the lows running over Long Island.
  4. EastonSN+
    Yup intensity and track. The problem this year has been a strongly coupled La Nina. RECORD troughing off the west coast and a dominant northern stream (again la Nina) has limited the air mass considerably on the east coast. The sad part, this setup would have absolutely buried us in almost all other setups (any setup other than strong la Nina and El Nino (97/98) conditions. If this setup happened last March CPK would have EASILY breached 10 inches. Timing is everything.
  5. EastonSN+
    It's simple for your area, if the storm is off the coast and the precip is intense enough you WILL snow.
  6. EastonSN+
    Total for GFS.
  7. EastonSN+
    Looks like the models are trying to fill in New Jersey like a coloring book.
  8. EastonSN+
    End of run 3rd wave.
  9. EastonSN+
    Wave 1
  10. EastonSN+
    GEFS is back on the wave 1 train and has it more intense now. Suppression/intensity looking like it's going to be more of a concern at this point over a tucked solution.
  11. EastonSN+
    Third wave on the GFS
  12. EastonSN+
    Third wave squished on the GEM
  13. EastonSN+
    What's funny is the snow totals align with Dons stats for this type of season lol.
  14. EastonSN+
    GFS storm 1
  15. EastonSN+
    CMC storm 1
  16. EastonSN+
    Yup. First storm I had 3.5 second storm 8.
  17. EastonSN+
    The orientation of the trough is key too. It has been west therefore allowing for the atmospheric river to hit socal. Usually in a la Nina the trough is further east more inland
  18. EastonSN+
    To lighten the mood took this from the NE thread from a TV station in my state of CT. Lol
  19. EastonSN+
    Lol got to think positive/hopes ups my friend. Better way to live life!
  20. EastonSN+
    Per my post above I think the 2nd wave around the 14th holds the most potential. The air mass ahead of the storm is much colder and would allow for snow in a weaker storm. Hopefully the EPS and GEPS are correct. We usually do better with a colder air mass in place of course.
  21. EastonSN+
    Since I have been tracking in 1990.
  22. EastonSN+
    If one wants to investigate why this winter was so bad one just has to look to the west. Incredible year for them! The GEFS image below sums up December February and March. On TWC they mentioned 81/82 as a comparable year. https://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/california/west-coast-snowfall/3170182/
  23. EastonSN+
    In my area of Connecticut March has been historically snowier than December. It depends on local I guess.
  24. EastonSN+
    Even though the GEFS is focusing on the first wave, we should be rooting for the second wave. I mean this look below is great AND we have a cold air mass in FRONT of the system unlike this weekend.
  25. EastonSN+
    Other than 1888 which was a warm snowless winter followed by March history, how many winters have had snowy Marches after a below average DJF? 91/92 18/19 Any others? On the flip side, how many snowy Decembers have we had followed by below average JFM?
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