Jump to content

EastonSN+

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    7,919

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    GEFS has the AO touching -4. If we stay conservative with -3.5, per the stats you have provided we are in pretty good shape for some potential!
  2. EastonSN+
    GEFS got a little better, EPS got a little worse. Perhaps they are finally going to get closer to a compromise.
  3. EastonSN+
    I lucked out with a dusting in Easton.
  4. EastonSN+
    Happy that the GEFS looks improved on PAC side LR.
  5. EastonSN+
    GEFS much improved on PAC side too!
  6. EastonSN+
    Can we reach -4? From the MA forum.
  7. EastonSN+
    Can't find it but Bluewave showed the H5 shot of December 2012. Looks close to what we are getting. Sign me up! Of course no two winters are alike, results may vary.
  8. EastonSN+
    One of the benefits of being in the northeast, always in the game for a monster like Feb 2006, March 2018, Feb 1983 etc etc. Also one or two big storms are how the coastal plain usually adds up snowfall. Was definitely back loaded however we also scored 4 inches that December so NOT a shut out early on. Even if NEMO was a pedestrian 10 inch event we would have reached average annual snowfall that year.
  9. EastonSN+
    https://www.britannica.com/science/Little-Ice-Age Good read. Our next threat window.
  10. EastonSN+
    Still emerging from the last mini ice age and have a ways to go before we plateau.
  11. EastonSN+
    Took a look at the LR guidance and it still looks good as we head into mid/late month. Only December 6, a long way before the solstice. I will say if the LR guidance overnight is correct (and we all know that's a big IF), then 2012/2013 looks like a better analog (east half of sub forum benefits more). Does anyone have the 12/13 snowfall totals for central park? SW CT ended up approx. 129% of average annual snowfall.
  12. EastonSN+
    Thanks Don! I tend to think it's 75% natural cyclical warming, 25% human induced. What is odd is it seems that April has been colder than average the last 10 years. May be a statistical anomaly.
  13. EastonSN+
    It's over, I was amped up and holding steady until I saw the 18z GFS. Next year may hold promise.
  14. EastonSN+
    AO approaching -4
  15. EastonSN+
    Check over Alaska and Greenland. That's a massive ror change.
  16. EastonSN+
    12z
  17. EastonSN+
    6z
  18. EastonSN+
    I mean the run over run change is massive. NAO block sinks SE, but the EPO completely flips from positive to negative
  19. EastonSN+
    Now THIS is a change in the GEFS. The Atlantic goes to crap in the LR but the PAC improves. GEPS remains unchanged.
  20. EastonSN+
    Window 1
  21. EastonSN+
    Toss the GFS far, 18z yesterday showed two snowstorms. Go with a CMC EURO blend until the GFS calms down.
  22. EastonSN+
    Yeah, I also appreciate that this forum covers a vast region and what coastal NJ needs is far different than the 84 inland corridor.
  23. EastonSN+
    Correct in that before mid month we need colder air. If this pattern holds to late month we MAY score.
  24. EastonSN+
    CORRECT. It's actually great that this is getting delayed. Get this pattern in late December and January. Also, we were only 8 inches below seasonal average last year and that was just 3 weeks. This December looks MUCH better that RNA was a beast.
  25. EastonSN+
    We scored 4 inches in 2012 where the PAC was worse. What's wrong with the CURRENT pattern? This pattern we are in right now will work in late December and January. Let the models punt all day will will cash in.
×
×
  • Create New...