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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    12z Euro with a similar idea as the Canadian. Advisory snow this run to the LSV & Warning snow just over the MD line. Only minor adjustment needed to get southern PA into the better goods.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    Agreed, 50 or so miles. will likely have a large difference in snow amounts depending on where the cutoff sets up. Lots of runs to go until that is determined. Heck, we are a couple of days away from solid NAM & short range model forecasts.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    Long way to go. That was a crazy swing south by the Ukie in one model run. We don’t need much of a push from most Op run guidance to get into the decent stuff in the LSV. Either way, I wouldn’t mind even a couple inches of snow if we end up getting fringed. Whatever we get should stick around for awhile.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    The 12z Canadian shows a solid Advisory event this run for the LSV & more out towards @Bubbler86 & @MAG5035 It wouldn’t take much for a slight bump to the north to get more of CTP into the better goods if the confluence eases just a bit.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    North trend is evident on the EPS. Hopefully it continues. 6z top 0z bottom
  6. Blizzard of 93
    I see what you mean with the 6z GEFS & 6z EPS getting the LSV into the main area of precip. We are very much in the game.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    Happy New Year!!!
  8. Blizzard of 93
    Unbelievable, wow! Let’s see what the Euro says soon.
  9. Blizzard of 93
    Tell us more…
  10. Blizzard of 93
    Hopefully the Euro does the same
  11. Blizzard of 93
    Again, LFG!!!
  12. Blizzard of 93
    LFG !!!
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Tough crowd, I would have thought PSU was down by 20 points… Lol, go State?!
  14. Blizzard of 93
    Despite the torch the last 2 days, MDT is holding on to a -1.6 degree departure for the month. So even when today’s above normal day is factored in, MDT will have another below normal temperature month.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    The EPS still has a decent middle ground & puts us very much in the game.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    Someone just posted the recent official model rankings a couple of days ago in the Mid Atlantic thread. The Euro was first & the GFS was near the bottom, worse than the Canadian.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    Good points. It’s not like we are trying to will a Miller A with precip cutting off in southern VA to move up to our latitude. Most guidance has a juicy low tracking from the Tennessee Valley into the lower Ohio Valley with an established juicy precip field. I will take my chances in southern PA with this set up.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    12z runs leave all options on the table from good snow hits from the ICON & Ukie, to light snow from the Euro to whiff from the GFS. On to 18z…
  19. Blizzard of 93
    Unfortunately the Euro this run hits a wall & takes the best snow into VA & DC this run. Still not a bad spot to be 5 or 6 days out.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, no need to apologize, but do you have the Ukie Kuchera map?
  21. Blizzard of 93
    Here’s another Ukie map I ripped from another thread. Still 10-1, but zoomed in & for the whole event.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    @mitchnick is busy in the other thread, but I just stole this 12z Ukie from them. I would like to see a more zoomed in Kuchera for the whole event if someone has it. WB doesn’t have good Ukie maps…
  23. Blizzard of 93
    @mitchnick Please post the Ukie for us!
  24. Blizzard of 93
    Indeed, still 6 days to go. I like that the cutter idea is fading, but now we need to avoid suppression. Over the years, lows that track to Kentucky & fade or jump to the VA Capes, usually bring the main swath of precip into at least the southern half of PA.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    The Canadian still shears out at the last minute, but I like the look it had with the low in Southwest Kentucky and the associated precip position. Ease that confluence just a bit & it would work well for southern PA.
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