Blizzard of 93

Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 454 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2025 PAZ004-010>012-017>019-045-046-049>053-058-090300- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0013.250208T2000Z-250209T0800Z/ Warren-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre- Southern Centre-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder- Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill- Including the cities of Renovo, Pottsville, Clearfield, Warren, Selinsgrove, Philipsburg, St. Marys, State College, Sunbury, Lock Haven, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Danville, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Emporium, Ridgway, Berwick, and DuBois 454 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...A few hour period of moderate to heavy snow possible late this afternoon and early this evening, then sleet followed by light freezing rain late. Total snow and sleet accumulations between 2 and 3 inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 454 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2025 PAZ025>028-034>036-056-057-059-063>066-090300- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0013.250208T1800Z-250209T0800Z/ Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Perry- Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Mount Union, Lebanon, Huntingdon, Gettysburg, Altoona, Lewistown, Carlisle, Harrisburg, Lancaster, Mifflintown, York, Chambersburg, Bedford, McConnellsburg, Hershey, and Newport 454 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to two inches and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 3 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Any untreated roads or sidewalks will be treacherous. CTP revised the WWA for the LSV & South central PA this am for up to 2 inches of snow/sleet followed by freezing rain later today.

Ok, just for you… The upcoming blocking pattern could support a strong coastal…fun times are possibly ahead the rest of the month.

You’re right…the last several runs of the HRRR even show a couple of inches down to the PA turnpike. Maybe we get a little surprise… or it’s on something as you said, lol.

Sorry to hear that man! Hopefully we have a good trend for Tuesday to try to brighten your day.

0z Euro AI had a very slight tick North with the overall extent of precip over its last run for the 24 hour period for the Tuesday into Wednesday am chance.

0z Euro AI had a very slight tick North with the overall extent of precip over its last run for the 24 hour period for the Tuesday into Wednesday am chance.

0z Canadian had a nice front end thump with the Wednesday night wave before we mix in Thursday this run.

Again, this was never a snow storm! Please stop

The 0z NAMs both bring a good amount of sleet tomorrow.

The ice storm yesterday & the storm tomorrow were NEVER supposed to be snow events for the LSV! These were Always mix slop storms for us. Our first real snow chance is Tuesday.

I did just have to delete a ton of attachments to make room for the next rounds of…. wait for it… More Snow maps!

0z HRRR is interesting for Tomorrow with the snow & sleet combo.

Well, the event has not happened yet & I don’t think anyone necessarily believed the huge totals for the Tuesday event. I still think a moderate 3 to 6 event for the LSV is Very Much on the table. After that, the pattern remains loaded with potential as the Ops & ensembles have been advertising for days. It’s just a matter of time until we get a flush hit over the next couple of weeks.

Still plenty of time for these waves to shift around a bit over the next few days. The Tuesday wave looks to be trending further south at this time. I think it’s possible for the Wednesday night into Thursday wave to trend a bit south. Maybe we end up with 2 solid Advisory events 48 hours apart?

The Wednesday night into Thursday wave brings another round of Advisory snow to most of CTP.

Also, being on the North side of the shield, we could do a little better with decent ratios.

@mitchnick As you mentioned in the other thread, The EPS still gets us an Advisory level event on Tuesday.

Hopefully it’s a case of delayed, but not denied… It’s hopefully just a matter of time until we cash in sometime over the next 2 weeks.

The overnight ensemble runs through day 15/16 continue to produce the unprecedented totals. ALL 3 global ensembles ALL Week Run after run… Stay buckled up!

6z EPS looks good for Tuesday. Steady run after run…good thing to see with the best model.

6z EPS looks good for Tuesday

The Euro has not wavered for the past day or two, run after run for Warning event for southern PA. UKMET steady too & Canadian has had a solid general idea. I expect the GFS to fall back in line with getting southern PA into at least Warning level Tuesday totals. After that, let’s take it one wave at a time.

6z Euro remains steady with a Warning snow event Tuesday for southern PA.

6z Euro is nice indeed!