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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. I would sign for .5 to .7 of precip in the LSV with good ratios.
  2. Improvement for Harrisburg & Lancaster at 12z run vs. 6z.
  3. 12z NAMing appears to be underway in southern PA at hour 48…
  4. 12z National Blend of models ticked slightly better for the LSV.
  5. Why not a third view of the 12z HRRR ? I like seeing that low in eastern Kentucky.
  6. The National Blend of Models also gets Warning snow to Harrisburg.
  7. Speaking of the SREF. The latest SREF mean would be acceptable for the southern third.
  8. The 3k NAM depiction of the precip shield is what you typically see in the southern half of PA when a low is in Eastern Tennessee & western NC.
  9. The 3k NAM looks very good with for the southern half of PA. The run ends at 60 hours, with more snow to go. Hopefully more short range guidance trends this direction as we approach game time.
  10. Good to see the 6z NAM with the Warning level snow up to Harrisburg this run.
  11. Here are the 6z Euro & 6z GFS. The goalposts seem to be narrowing. Hopefully by tonight we start to see the small bumps back a little north to get more of the southern half of PA into the better snow.
  12. I’ve never seen them use broad ranges like 3 to 8.
  13. Sorry, I was so excited to see his map that I didn’t fully read the post, Lol! I need coffee.
  14. Good morning, I can’t see his map with that link.
  15. GFS ticked south with the precip shield, but still brings Warning snow to the LSV. I would be fine if this is the final outcome, but we still have 2 days to go…
  16. Look how similar the 18z Euro & 18z GFS are at 1 pm on Monday. The low positions & general reach & size of the precip shield are very close. Only real difference is the amount of juice in the precip field for our region. I really like where we stand at this range.
  17. Trees & mulch caved. Car tops showing initial signs of caving.
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