Blizzard of 93
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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
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TT only has 10-1…. This is a good ratio storm. Kuchera ratio at minimum is the way to go to account for ratio potential.
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Lol, every map in every format from every website has us getting an average of 3 inches. Some runs will show a little more & some a little less, but at this point it’s safe to say another Advisory event of 2 to 4 is on the way.
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6z Euro improved slightly for the southern tier over 0z.
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Good consensus on the weather models this morning for Friday snow of 3 to 4 inches for us.
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0z ICON was a CTP winner for Friday.
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Yes, it improved a little for many of us over its 18z run, including Rouzerville, Harrisburg & Lancaster.
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The 21z SREF has the higher totals to our north for Friday. It will be interesting to see the NAM soon to see it if agrees.
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Lol, it’s not like MD had 10 & we got 4…. I’m pretty sure that most people would call 3 & 4 “close” … Lol!
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Ensemble maps are only ever 10-1 ratio. Friday’s event should have very good ratios with the Arctic air in place.
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Friday is a different set up than today. Also, most totals that I read for today’s event showed 4 inches or so in MD/DC, which was similar to what most had in our region today. One more thing, Go Canada!
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I agree. The Canadian has the heaviest totals north of the MD line through most of our region. A compromise would put southern PA in the sweet spot. This event should have good raitios as well.
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18z Euro slightly drier than its 12z run. Still widespread 2 inches in southern PA this run.
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MDT recorded 3.1 of snow for the event. 2.3 today & .8 yesterday. Nice solid widespread Advisory level event.
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The 18z GFS wasn’t far off on showing something a little more, but it still gets another Advisory level event to CTP this run.
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18z RGEM would make the vast majority of us happy on Friday. The Canadian & RGEM have been consistent with a CTP bullseye for the last few runs.
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Terrible time for radar to be out. Anyone have any other radar source to post or share link?
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Snow is the “heaviest” of the event in Marysville now with moderate rate & best flake size for the event.
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Do you have a good link for the current low position map? Also, could you or someone post the map where the coastal low is sitting at this time?
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3.1 in Marysville currently with light snow continuing now.
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Latest HRRR shows some filling in with the light snow through late morning even in southern PA. Here is the 3 hourly progression & snow still to go on the HRRR.
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Light snow continues now in Marysville & across even southern PA as of the 6 am official observations. The radar is not picking up the steady light snow. Flake size is small, but very steady here.
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Steady light to moderate snow in Marysville with a little over 1 inch of powder on the ground.
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The 0z Canadian has a Warning event for us on Friday.
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I know a few of us recently discussed splitting counties for Advisories & Warnings, tonight, in looking at the CTP map, “southern Dauphin” should be Warned, but they can’t split the county.
