As @mitchnick mentioned, the 18z GEFS run ends with a good look by the 8th.
No can kicking on the Ensembles or Weeklies. Once we flip back to a good pattern, hopefully it locks in until March.
We just need a little patience & then Winter could deliver again in February & early March, even better than the good 2 weeks that we just had here in January.
Good, as it has been mentioned by some on here, this looks a lot like the late December to first week of January progression that we just went through. The Winter storm chances should follow a few days later.
Yes, a few runs of the GFS & Euro the last few days pulled off a good track, with just cold enough to make it interesting around here, but not a good trend overnight. If they don’t trend back later today, this event will probably not have a chance for us.
Unfortunately, the Euro & GFS are now taking the Sunday low up well to our west, but the Canadian still has hope for snow for northern PA on this 0z run.
If the low tracks under us, I think we have the chance to get at least a rain to snow scenario. It may not be a clean snow storm, but we may be able to put a little snow on the board, but northern & western areas of our thread would be favored.
This 18z GFS run has another Winter Storm chance on February 3rd.
This run ends cold for a good amount of the country & there is energy showing in the southwest.
Heck, we have a chance in 6 days, so that’s my focus for now.
The long range does look promising as well once we get towards the end of the first week of February & beyond according to the advertised pattern on the Weeklies.
lol, nope, not during the work week, I usually just get to check in over lunchtime.
I help to cover on here the early morning, evening, weekends & overnight if snow is approaching.
6z GFS has snow for northern PA, but has a good High in Ontario. If that High can get out ahead towards Quebec, we could be in business just like the 0z Euro showed.