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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    Good thing MU’s call of a 20 day Winter followed by a January warm up panned out… Lots of forecasters, including JB, are trying to save their Winter calls by rooting on a February warm up. Time will tell, but NO one called for a frigid January. In summary, no pro forecaster or good hobbyist has any clue what the last 2 months of Winter will hold.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    I think the first 2 weeks are back & forth with temps. It’s not a shut out pattern. We will see beyond that, but the MJO looks to take another tour through the colder phases from mid February onward. We are FAR from done…
  3. Blizzard of 93
    12z EPS at day 15 has more ridging along the east coast, but has nice ridging in Alaska that drives cold air into most of the country.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    Not if you’re ok with a sloppy icy mix next Saturday.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    On the GFS Op run no less…
  6. Blizzard of 93
    On an Op run…
  7. Blizzard of 93
    I’ll be plenty worried about temps & precip types under 72 hours if we have a somewhat workable track.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    Not worried about exact temps, just general track at this range. Just avoid a massive cutter & I think we score at least a sloppy front end to mix at our latitude…
  9. Blizzard of 93
  10. Blizzard of 93
    To me on the old school looking maps from the Euro AI website… it looks like a Miller B scenario that takes a weak low to the OH Valley that transfers off of the DelMarVa & then the coastal heads northeast off of the the NJ coast. If this run played out, it could be a snow to mix/rain, then back to snow as the coastal takes over.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    If the final track is Anything but an extreme cutter, I think that we get a little front end snow to a mix. All options still on the table, & yes, we are still in the game.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    Low of 6 in Marysville.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Good news on the longer range at day 15 on the 0z EPS. The SE ridge gets squashed.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    Good news on the longer range at day 15 on the 0z EPS. The SE ridge gets squashed.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    It would have been interesting to get 1 more below zero, but low single digits is still impressive.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    Impressive that MDT has had 18 below normal days this month so far, including the last 5 with double digit negative departures.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    MDT got down to 1 around 6:30 this morning.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    Maybe the Canadian & Euro AI will lead the way just like last Sunday’s event. The other models slowly came around to them after a couple of days. Let’s see what the 12z runs show later on.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    As you mentioned, the 0z Euro AI agrees with the 0z Canadian.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Maybe the Canadian & Euro AI will lead the way just like last Sunday’s event. The other models slowly came around to them after a couple of days. Let’s see what the 12z runs show later on.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    MDT only made it to 30 for a high after a morning low of 5. Another double digit daily departure will go in the official books today.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Surface maps are interesting as well at the end of the 6z Euro & EPS at 144 hours.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    MDT is down to 6 at midnight. Maybe a chance of a 4th straight day with a below zero temperature?
  24. Blizzard of 93
    Same here, I’ll track first flakes to the last possible chance in Spring. I’m looking forward to the next trackable chance. Hopefully the cutoff later next week trends in our direction.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, just showing what the model run spit out… Again, it doesn’t mean I believe it… But, we are far from done this season.
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