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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Do you think the start time for our region might be moved up to earlier tonight based on current Obs/radar?
  2. It’s good to see it’s already snowing in western Kentucky in Bowling Green last hour at 1 mile visibility. Not much virga to overcome.
  3. lol, thanks, here’s what it shows for those that didn’t open the link…
  4. SPC disagrees… Mesoscale Discussion 0043 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0853 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026 Areas affected...northeast TX...southern AR...northern LA...western MS Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 241453Z - 242000Z SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy freezing rain and sleet are expected to persist across the Ark-La-Tex to Ark-La-Miss regions into early afternoon. Liquid-equivalent precipitation rates of a tenth to quarter-inch per hour should be common, locally up to a half-inch per hour. DISCUSSION...A swath of moderate to heavy mixed precipitation is ongoing across east TX and the Ark-La-Tex. Surface observations confirm hourly precipitation rates of .10-.25 in/hr are common, up to around .50 in/hr. 12Z guidance is rather consistent in indicating this swath of precip persisting through at least early afternoon, gradually shifting east-northeast amid rather pronounced low-level warm theta-e advection. A classic freezing rain to sleet sounding was sampled at 12Z in SHV. This type of thermodynamic profile should continue to steadily push southward in northern LA. Farther east, the surface freezing line should only drift to nearly stall across western MS into the early afternoon. ..Grams.. 01/24/2026
  5. Classic cave! This does Not count for the contest, lol!
  6. Here are the last 2 panels with anything significant, things lighten up by late evening for most.
  7. 12 to 16 on GFS for Harrisburg, York & Lancaster reporting stations this run. GFS is mostly noise level changes.
  8. @Ellinwood updated his forecast, but still had PA looking good! Made more significant adjustments in the mountains and pulled back totals around the coast and the DMV region a little. Gonna be interesting to see how quickly things change over to sleet, but we all know that leaning earlier vs later is the way to go 90% of the time.
  9. It’s already snowing in Tennessee. Precip looks to really be blossoming & moving rather quickly east to northeast. Maybe we get an earlier start time while the cold is still fully entrenched?
  10. It’s fine on top of our 12.3 of snow. Pack retention. Lol!
  11. My low temp was 4 in Marysville. Currently temp is 9 Current dew point is -4 Arctic air is certainly in place.
  12. This isn’t some bombing out 985 cutter going from Nashville to Cleveland attacking a marginal cold air mass… We have a weak low getting up to WV attacking an impressive Arctic air mass that will secondary off of the DelMarVa. Yes, the LSV will eventually mix, but not as quickly as this NAM is showing…
  13. NAM is over amping & booting this low level extreme Arctic air mass way too quickly in my opinion.
  14. Classic case of over amped NAM still in its long range… It’s almost unusable
  15. Yes, it will be a battle in the southern tier counties tomorrow afternoon. This HRRR run shows heavy snow for everyone through at least noon. Then southern York & Lanco mix & it inches back & forth in the LSV. Harrisburg, Carlisle & Lebanon stay all snow this run until early evening. Then all of the LSV is mixing through the evening as rates back down according to this run.
  16. High res Canadian short range “Herpaderp” looking good too, lol!
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