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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    We will need good rates to get the job done.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    The initial low in the 12z Euro gets to WV before the transfer to the coastal. Slight improvement over 0z Euro on the Kuchera snow maps for Rouzerville, York & Harrisburg areas. Good run especially turnpike area on north.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    While hopefully feasting on the Euro over my lunch…. Here are the 12z GEFS individual ensemble members, I count roughly 20 of the 30 members would work for many of us.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    Beautiful!
  5. Blizzard of 93
    Not in Pillow….
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, we will need a strong low positioned properly off of the coast to bring us heavier rates to get the chance of good snow to the LSV.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    I guess my point is that at this range I would rather see the stabilizing of the Euro & GFS, with the risk of whiff on the other models instead of a locking in of models saying “wagons north”.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    We still have a long way to go until the Monday night/Tuesday am event. Later today, the NAM & RGEM wil be in range towards the end of their runs. The Euro & GFS say we are in the game, so it will be interesting to see where this ends up by Monday.
  9. Blizzard of 93
    It kind of looked that way at the end of the RGEM as well.
  10. Blizzard of 93
    I’d rather have it showing the chance of a whiff instead of congrats Binghamton & Worcester like many models showed a day or 2 ago.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    6z GEFS individual ensemble members for early next week say that there is more of a risk of a whiff with not much of a storm instead of a miss to the north. Plenty of good snow hits for CTP on the individual members as well.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    6z GEFS moved moved with its snow line. It actually keeps DC in the game this run. It puts the LSV in the sweet spot this run. 6z top 0z bottom
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Convergence continues with the 6z GFS moving the snow line a bit north, but this still works well for most of CTP.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    0z Euro has continued its march to the south & now looks similar to the GFS. Convergence is underway & it puts most of CTP in a good spot. Here is the 0z Euro.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    If anyone wants a late night treat, the rest of the 0z GFS brings a few more snow events throughout the run. The total snow map is a thing of beauty.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    Good, I want the lows to Erie or Cleveland eliminated. Give me a track under us or one that has a low dying off in WV before a jump towards the coast.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    0z GEFS has the mean low position a little south east of 18z.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z Canadian tonight also continues to adjust south. Check out the difference between 0z tonight & 0z last night. Top-0z last night with a low near Erie Bottom-0z tonight with a low in NC
  19. Blizzard of 93
    Yes indeed! The Initial low dies in southern WV & then secondaries off of the DelMarVa while rapidly strengthening into the 980s. Then it exits northeast.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    18z EPS slight shift south over 12z. 18z EPS also upped snow amounts for the LSV this run. 12z top 18z bottom
  21. Blizzard of 93
    Hopefully it’s the beginning of convergence.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    I can’t wait for his snow map for us on Monday…
  23. Blizzard of 93
    PD storm is alive on the 18z GFS.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    This 18z GEFS now looks similar to the 12z EPS for most of CTP. Here is EPS at 12z to compare.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    18z GEFS ticked north from its 12z run, but is still good for all of CTP.
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