Blizzard of 93

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 309 PM EST Sun Feb 2 2025 PAZ026>028-034-035-049>053-056>059-063-032015- Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland- 309 PM EST Sun Feb 2 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. A light accumulation of snow between a coating and one half of an inch into this evening could be followed by a light glaze of ice from patchy freezing drizzle later tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday. Two winter storms may impact the area, one mid-week and another next weekend. Both storms may generate a wintry mix with the possibility for plowable snow or ice accumulations.

I think we will be good. Lots of other pro forecasters & the good experienced long time posters on here across the regions are buckling up starting next week. The storms look to be “training” one after the other. Some may miss, some may mix, but I think it will be tough to not score something at least moderate over the next 2 weeks.

It’s going to be a long week for me with the Eagles in the Super Bowl and all of the storm tracking… I will need to try to sleep sometime…but it might be really tough!

brooklynwx99 Posted 14 minutes ago cold and active. love to see it

Lol & he said “in March” when we are staring at potentially multiple events in the next 2 weeks…

Same on the GFS for Thursday am

12z RGEM likes the coating idea for the LSV tonight

In my observations, we typically only ever see those types of ensemble totals when there is a moderate event or two in the short term. This is a major signal.

Wow, the AD & Luka NBA trade was shocking!

The signal is getting louder on the 0z ensembles for snow chances in the upcoming 2 weeks. Most of this snow falls in week 2, but seeing ensembles showing 8 and 10 inches at this range is VERY RARE. @mitchnick have you EVER seen the EPS show a 8 to 10 inch mean for the LSV on the 15 day map unless we were staring down a major event in the short term? Me personally, I’ve never seen the EPS show 10 inches for MDT at this range for the 15 day period. No guarantees & we can’t shovel potential…. but my goodness this has the chance to be a memorable upcoming period.

0z GFS run of the year is under way so far with multiple opportunities over the next 2 weeks. This is just through 300 hours

Let’s not hold back, how about the Kuchera GFS map.

Beyond epic run, if even close to half of it happens, most of us would be thrilled.

It’s more like round 4 for Wintry chances this run…

I like seeing the signal for snow over the next 2 weeks on the GEFS & EPS. From my observations over the years, it’s usually a good indicator for snow potential when the 6 inch snow line reaches at least part of the LSV for the 15 or 16 day ensemble period. The vast majority of the snow is in week 2 on both ensembles.

12z Euro has less snow & more mix to rain this run with most of the systems tracking to our northwest this run.

12z GFS & Canadian continue the theme of multiple chances along the boundary over the next 2 weeks. Hopefully we are on the Wintry side for a few of them.

Yes snow on 2/5 for the LSV, then a mix on 2/6.

6z Euro AI is also full of multiple potential Winter opportunities over the next 2 weeks.

Here’s the 0z Euro AI for Valentine’s Eve.

Lol, I went there!

The rest of the 0z Euro AI run looks like it was run out of my basement. Drool worth for the 11th

The 6z GFS has 5 different Winter Storm chances over the next 16 days. Most are snow to mix scenarios, but we would build a little glacier if this run were to verify. Too many maps (lol, yes I said it) to post each individual threat. Here is the 16 day snow map just to give a general idea of the potential this run.

@mitchnick and others that love snow chances… The 0z EPS snow map might have had the best run of the season without a specific threat on our doorstep. Talk about potential…this is the 10 day EPS snow map from the 5th through the 15th.

The 0z GFS & Euro both have several Winter weather opportunities as we ride the boundary during the next 2 weeks. Some snow, some mix, some rain, it should be an interesting period upcoming to say the least.