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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    Let’s just say next weekend’s weather is still to be determined…
  2. Blizzard of 93
  3. Blizzard of 93
  4. Blizzard of 93
    0z GFS then exits the low to the east & flips most of us to snow next weekend.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    No joke, remember, I joined “team drought”. I think we get caught up in Feb & March, with a good amount in the frozen type.
  6. Blizzard of 93
    0z GFS exits the low east & flips many to snow or mix.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    Major changes on the 0z GFS 0z top 18z bottom
  8. Blizzard of 93
    Major changes indeed 0z top 18z bottom
  9. Blizzard of 93
    I’m getting pumped for the drought monitor map this week.
  10. Blizzard of 93
    Good points, but December finished below normal even though the last week of the month warmed up. We only had a couple inches of snow, but most of December was below normal for temperatures. Let’s see where February goes… I’m keeping my snowblower gassed up!
  11. Blizzard of 93
    Honestly I hope it warms up a bit, but brings a more active pattern with chances every 4 or 5 days. We will likely lose some, but we can win some too. Just bring me snow like the 18z GFS on February 6th this run, Lol!
  12. Blizzard of 93
    Good thing MU’s call of a 20 day Winter followed by a January warm up panned out… Lots of forecasters, including JB, are trying to save their Winter calls by rooting on a February warm up. Time will tell, but NO one called for a frigid January. In summary, no pro forecaster or good hobbyist has any clue what the last 2 months of Winter will hold.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    I think the first 2 weeks are back & forth with temps. It’s not a shut out pattern. We will see beyond that, but the MJO looks to take another tour through the colder phases from mid February onward. We are FAR from done…
  14. Blizzard of 93
    12z EPS at day 15 has more ridging along the east coast, but has nice ridging in Alaska that drives cold air into most of the country.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    Not if you’re ok with a sloppy icy mix next Saturday.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    On the GFS Op run no less…
  17. Blizzard of 93
    On an Op run…
  18. Blizzard of 93
    I’ll be plenty worried about temps & precip types under 72 hours if we have a somewhat workable track.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    Not worried about exact temps, just general track at this range. Just avoid a massive cutter & I think we score at least a sloppy front end to mix at our latitude…
  20. Blizzard of 93
  21. Blizzard of 93
    To me on the old school looking maps from the Euro AI website… it looks like a Miller B scenario that takes a weak low to the OH Valley that transfers off of the DelMarVa & then the coastal heads northeast off of the the NJ coast. If this run played out, it could be a snow to mix/rain, then back to snow as the coastal takes over.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    If the final track is Anything but an extreme cutter, I think that we get a little front end snow to a mix. All options still on the table, & yes, we are still in the game.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    Low of 6 in Marysville.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    Good news on the longer range at day 15 on the 0z EPS. The SE ridge gets squashed.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    Good news on the longer range at day 15 on the 0z EPS. The SE ridge gets squashed.
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