Blizzard of 93

No apologies needed, this is a back yard sport!

I was wondering if @sauss06 is ok? I haven’t seen him post in awhile.

Ok, so let me go find another snow map…it’s been too long, lol!

Also, lots of posters have been posting snow maps for days….not just me.

Lol, It’s what we do on here, no one is saying any model is right at any point. We need to look at all guidance & search for a consensus. Outliers, whether high or low should be tossed.

I agree with you! Anything that swings so much like the 3k NAM in 6 hours like that cannot be trusted whatsoever!

29/25 in Marysville

Well, my handbook says it’s now casting time!

@Coop_Mason Please make sure CTP has MDT ready today to measure well!

I was thinking of @Mount Joy Snowman He is one of our best numbers guys!

Hopefully CTP has the MDT observer ready to get us an accurate snow total today. Lol, What’s the jet traffic like today at MDT ?

Here is a some of the CTP discussion this morning in regard to mixing & change overs. “very small (<=1") increase in snow totals has been made over a large portion of the area, but necessitated no further changes to the going WWAs. York and Lancaster are still expected to turn to plain rain in the evening as warm air flows in aloft and at the sfc. Some mix or even a turn to just rain is possible between Rte 30 and I-81, but generally late. Still expecting mainly/all snow for places along and north of Blue Mtn.”

Here’s another CTP map.

6z NAM for the win …. We can all only hope. Except for @Bubbler86 lol, it’s super weird how it has that little area around Rouzerville that gets so little. I’m sure that he would take one for the team.

Good to see the bump up in amounts as we approach game time this morning.

Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 315 AM EST Sat Jan 6 2024 PAZ011-012-017>019-025>028-034>036-045-049-050-056-057-059-063- 064-062015- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0001.240106T1300Z-240107T0300Z/ Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre- Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton- Franklin-Southern Clinton-Union-Snyder-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon- Cumberland-Adams- Including the cities of Emporium, Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, State College, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Lock Haven, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, and Gettysburg 315 AM EST Sat Jan 6 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total accumulations of 6 to 8 inches. * WHERE...The Central Mountains of Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 8 AM to 10 PM EST Saturday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult, especially during the afternoon and early evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The snow will fall heavily at times between noon and 6 pm, with much lighter snow after 7 pm.

CTP bumped up Expected snow totals for many.

Very nice 3k NAMing that the all of us, even the Lancaster crew will approve.

Better 0z Euro Op run for I-81 in the LSV & Lancaster and bumped up as well.

It’s a little late for ensembles, but it’s good to see the EPS bumping amounts up, especially for the LSV.

11 pm Obs & the whole state has dew points in the teens to near 20…

What’s your dew point now? I am at 19 & MDT is at 20 as of 11 pm I have been hovering near 20 most of the day.

Here is the height of the storm on the GFS. It shows mixing in the LSV, but no plain rain in PA. The WB maps do split out Sleet & Freezing Rain separately, so they are Not lumped in with snow totals.

The 0z Canadian improved over its 12z run for Lancaster & still looks good for most of us

Who knows which service is better or more accurate? I pay my 27.99 per month to Weatherbell. They have a lot a commercial clients & 2 seasoned pro Mets that run the website. I don’t think they would be in business with bad maps…