Blizzard of 93
-
Posts
10,020 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
-
Great GFS run with Warning snow for 99% of Susquehanna Valley. Around 9 inches at Harrisburg.
-
Indeed, it is ramping up in Harrisburg, York, Palmyra & Rouzerville, and is holding steady around Lancaster.
-
Good RGEM run again…Similar to 18z 10-1 & Kuchera
-
NAMs now look like the RGEM solutions earlier today & yesterday.
-
So pretty…10-1 & Kuchera
-
I’d be happy with half of that near Harrisburg!
-
12k NAM Kuchera & 10-1
-
It must be a colder run aloft, because Kuchera ratio is actually increasing slightly the amounts over 10-1 for the Susquehanna Valley.
-
Next frame of NAM. Beautiful for near the turnpike on north this run… Great front end thump even for southern tier crew!
-
Maybe the start of the upward trend
-
I keep hitting refresh….so slow….but so good….
-
NAMing underway
-
Exactly
-
I’m assuming this is DT ? Good thing we live in PA… I’ll take my 6 inches of snow on his map.
-
This is surprisingly readable! I’ll take the 6 inches for Harrisburg too!
-
& close to the EPS….
-
While we wait in breathless anticipation for the NAMS….not sure if it was posted on here earlier, but here is @Ellinwood map for this storm. He is a respected Met in the Mid Atlantic thread.
-
They swing those constantly….check back later. It’s super irrelevant & annoying.
-
They are most useful for pattern recognition and are beneficial to get a good handle a week or 2 out instead of watching wild swings on Op runs. I like to see ensemble snow maps to track long range pattern potential. In the short term, when an ensemble locks in like EPS has over the last 24 hours, it usually is on the right track with the probable outcome.
-
18z Euro Control run is sweet as well!
-
Indeed… the 18z EPS is locked in! Amounts went increased a bit for Harrisburg, York & even good old Rouzerville (even though he hates ensembles…lol)
-
Basically voodoo
-
Give me an inch of precip like the 18z Euro shows & I like the Harrisburg area’s chances to score Warning level snow with this low track & cold enough air in place. If the precip stays moderate to heavy, it should stay mostly snow in my opinion based on my experiences over the years.
-
Magic?
-
I’ll take the 6.1 or 8 near Harrisburg
