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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Not wishing… NAMs & some other short range guidance are on board for LSV Warning snow. Also there are dozens of times over the years… including last year, when storms track a little further north at game time. We are not trying to “will” it up here from southern VA… It won’t take much for a slight bump north. I don’t think the LSV gets the bullseye, but I could see solid low end Warning numbers with a small shift.
  2. For next weekend, the 12z GFS has a major coastal this run. Snow map is drool worthy for next weekend…
  3. Good…good, I was worried when just Yesterday you said 5 to 8… We need you down playing more for us to score. This has a good track record over the years on here…
  4. Plenty of time to get a small bump north to get the LSV into the better goods like the NAM is showing. The actual storm is just going to emerge from the Rockies later today. We can still get an incremental bump north.
  5. I would sign for .5 to .7 of precip in the LSV with good ratios.
  6. Improvement for Harrisburg & Lancaster at 12z run vs. 6z.
  7. 12z NAMing appears to be underway in southern PA at hour 48…
  8. 12z National Blend of models ticked slightly better for the LSV.
  9. Why not a third view of the 12z HRRR ? I like seeing that low in eastern Kentucky.
  10. The National Blend of Models also gets Warning snow to Harrisburg.
  11. Speaking of the SREF. The latest SREF mean would be acceptable for the southern third.
  12. The 3k NAM depiction of the precip shield is what you typically see in the southern half of PA when a low is in Eastern Tennessee & western NC.
  13. The 3k NAM looks very good with for the southern half of PA. The run ends at 60 hours, with more snow to go. Hopefully more short range guidance trends this direction as we approach game time.
  14. Good to see the 6z NAM with the Warning level snow up to Harrisburg this run.
  15. Here are the 6z Euro & 6z GFS. The goalposts seem to be narrowing. Hopefully by tonight we start to see the small bumps back a little north to get more of the southern half of PA into the better snow.
  16. I’ve never seen them use broad ranges like 3 to 8.
  17. Sorry, I was so excited to see his map that I didn’t fully read the post, Lol! I need coffee.
  18. Good morning, I can’t see his map with that link.
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