Blizzard of 93
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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
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Out in fantasy land, the 6z GFS has another Winter storm chance on the 15th. Storms & rumors of storms..buckle up!
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Looking ahead to the Tuesday the 9th storm, the chance of front end snow is back on the 6z GFS even into the LSV before the change to rain. Heavy front end snow this run for western & northern CTP with the 9th event on the GFS. The snow map is just for the 24 hrs on the 9th into 10th.
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6z GEFS continues to ramp up.
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6z ICON bumped north to put us in the sweet spot. Still a little more snow to go at the end of the run which ends at 120 hours.
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6z GFS is still on board with good track but less precip this run compared to 0z.
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What a run!
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Wow!!! Crushed!
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Not bad, lots of room to survive the ticks to the north during the 3 days leading in.
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While we wait for 0z runs, I found this CPC map to be quite interesting for the Next storm chance for the 9th/10th. They must have some confidence in the possibility of front end snow for most of CTP, especially north & west sections of our region.
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I just looked at the snow for week 2 on the ensembles for the period AFTER this weekend’s event. A couple of weeks ago @mitchnick & I were trying to will the “blue” into the LSV, but it was not budging. So, while we may suffer a cutter, there is still good potential after this weekend. Again, these are just snow maps for week 2, for the 9th to the 16th on the 12z GEFS & EPS. Not bad for this range…
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Great to see with still 5 days to go!
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I still think we have the chance for a front end couple of inches of snow with the mid week cutter next week before the switch to rain. I’m not sold that the storm after the cutter will also cut. Yesterday the GFS had that as a snowstorm. Long way to go, but this pattern is certainly loaded with potential. We won’t win them all, but this will certainly be an interesting period to track.
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18z GFS is a crushing indeed
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Blowing & drifting…. Yes please
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Yes please!
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What a shot this is…
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We should be good if the low transfers from Eastern TN to the Outer Banks of NC & then moves north as the Euro shows.
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Just about perfect low position to get the Susquehanna Valley plastered with snow!
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12z Canadian ensembles look good as well for CTP. Excellent mean low position & low cluster. Snow map decent as well.
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Agreed
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The second storm for the 9th or 10th always has looked for days like a cutter on the ensembles & now we are barely in Op range for the Euro & Canadian. Our best hope for the second storm is a good front ender if the High in Quebec is strong & holds a bit. The 12z GFS says no this run, but the Canadian says we have a chance on the front end with a stronger High up north.
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Great post! Also, the 12z runs so far still show we have a long way to go, with lots still needing sorted out. I agree that I like where we are sitting now. Like you said, History tells us these type of storms creep north closer to the event, so we need some room to make sure we are still in the good snow zone. It’s nice to be back in the game!
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Icon seems to be middle ground bid between the Canadian & GFS this run.
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Yes, Canadian is an inland runner that brings a mixed event this run.
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Not sure what the heck you mean…. The 0z Euro was beautiful
