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Blizzard of 93

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  1. The good pattern look for week 2 continues on the three global ensembles.
  2. The good pattern look for week 2 continues on the three global ensembles.
  3. Happy Thanksgiving everyone l I am thankful for this weather community that I have now been a part of for 10 years! I hope that you all enjoy the day with family & friends while feasting!
  4. .58 of benefiical rain this morning. I’m thankful that I have not yet seen a drought monitor map this week!
  5. Awesome! So, it did snow in CTP on Thanksgiving…looks like some of the maps DID indeed verify…
  6. The 18z GEFS has brief transient ridging in the east on day 12/13, but then quickly evolves back into a more favorable look by day 15. Temperatures at day 15 are below normal as well.
  7. The 12z ensembles each end with below normal temps at the 360 hr. time stamp.
  8. The 3 main global ensembles at 12z still maintain a favorable look in the day 10 to 15 period.
  9. Patience…maybe we enjoy a dusting to an inch or 2 with a couple of Clippers while we track storms with more upside the following week. Step 1 is getting the cold entrenched this weekend.
  10. The day 15 single day ensemble snapshots show below normal temps holding at the end of their runs today on December 12th.
  11. The 12z global ensembles still hold the favorable pattern in their day 10 to 15.
  12. Lol, but it’s not too far away. The northern half of PA should see snow tomorrow. Also, this is the beginning of the pattern change. Our window opens next week.
  13. The cold continues to hold in the east as well in week 2 on the three global ensembles.
  14. There is good agreement among the 3 global ensembles that the favorable pattern holds at least through the second week of December. Ridging out west & the Aleutian low should continue to deliver cold air into the east. It should then just be a matter of time until we have opportunities for Winter weather.
  15. Happy Thanksgiving to you! I’m thankful that Winter Storm tracking season is here!
  16. 6z GFS gets the cold in place this weekend & then it gets very active with multiple Winter storm chances from around 5th through the end of the run. The run starts of with a healthy looking Clipper on the 5th. Then the stream gets involved & has a more impressive looking storm chance on the 9th. Let’s get the cold air in place & then hopefully we are tracking multiple chances.
  17. Exactly… Maybe east coast to him means Richmond & DC ?
  18. The 0z GFS shows a crushing snowstorm chance this run for us on 12/7 into 12/8. The cold air is getting entrenched this weekend, so hopefully Winter storm chances like this aren’t too far away.
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