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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. I found this posted in another thread & found it interesting.
  2. Thanks & we fell short on precip, so no yearly surplus… (Just having some New Year’s fun).
  3. Still a few days to go until this is decided. I like seeing the latest Euro, but let’s see what the Euro & other models do at 0z. I think the southern third of PA to northern MD will be in a good spot for this storm.
  4. Massive LSV hit! Hopefully a sign of the beginning of a new trend.
  5. 12z Euro with a similar idea as the Canadian. Advisory snow this run to the LSV & Warning snow just over the MD line. Only minor adjustment needed to get southern PA into the better goods.
  6. Agreed, 50 or so miles. will likely have a large difference in snow amounts depending on where the cutoff sets up. Lots of runs to go until that is determined. Heck, we are a couple of days away from solid NAM & short range model forecasts.
  7. Long way to go. That was a crazy swing south by the Ukie in one model run. We don’t need much of a push from most Op run guidance to get into the decent stuff in the LSV. Either way, I wouldn’t mind even a couple inches of snow if we end up getting fringed. Whatever we get should stick around for awhile.
  8. The 12z Canadian shows a solid Advisory event this run for the LSV & more out towards @Bubbler86 & @MAG5035 It wouldn’t take much for a slight bump to the north to get more of CTP into the better goods if the confluence eases just a bit.
  9. North trend is evident on the EPS. Hopefully it continues. 6z top 0z bottom
  10. I see what you mean with the 6z GEFS & 6z EPS getting the LSV into the main area of precip. We are very much in the game.
  11. Unbelievable, wow! Let’s see what the Euro says soon.
  12. Tough crowd, I would have thought PSU was down by 20 points… Lol, go State?!
  13. Despite the torch the last 2 days, MDT is holding on to a -1.6 degree departure for the month. So even when today’s above normal day is factored in, MDT will have another below normal temperature month.
  14. The EPS still has a decent middle ground & puts us very much in the game.
  15. Someone just posted the recent official model rankings a couple of days ago in the Mid Atlantic thread. The Euro was first & the GFS was near the bottom, worse than the Canadian.
  16. Good points. It’s not like we are trying to will a Miller A with precip cutting off in southern VA to move up to our latitude. Most guidance has a juicy low tracking from the Tennessee Valley into the lower Ohio Valley with an established juicy precip field. I will take my chances in southern PA with this set up.
  17. 12z runs leave all options on the table from good snow hits from the ICON & Ukie, to light snow from the Euro to whiff from the GFS. On to 18z…
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