Spartman

Second Saturday in a row with wall-to-wall overcast skies, but highs stuck in the low to mid-30s. Suicide weather.

Ended up with the first 70-degree day of the year before the strong cold front swept through in the afternoon.

Forecast high is in the upper 60's, but expected the warm-up to occur by midnight tonight.

Despite what the Euro and GFS are teasing us with temperature-wise, several areas across the region that has reached up into the 60s as the highest temperature so far this year may very well be punting until next month to see the first 70-degree readings. For instance, the last time both Indianapolis and Dayton waited until April for their first 70-degree day of the year was in 2014 while Cincinnati's last time to wait until April for the first 70-degree day was in 2013. Going to be a second one of those weeks sunshine is hard to come by. This past week would have resulted with a crappy weekend if it weren't for any late morning sunshine, and hopefully the upcoming weekend does not end up worse than last weekend. According to TWC, we may very well be repeating this past January's overcast stretch starting in the final workweek of this month, only that it features days with highs in the 50s and precipitation than during the final January week. The NWS unfortunately does not count days with a trace as measurable precipitation. The record highest number of days with measurable precipitation in a March is 20 days in 1993 for DAY and CVG, while 2004 for CMH. I think this March's springtime warmth is pretty much a waste that it doesn't deserve to be considered a Morch.

Final March 2020 outlook from CPC

Looks like we'll be writing off the final workweek of this February. With sunshine being abundant last week, we're paying for it big time this week. Since Monday, it looks to be overcast every single day through Friday. If we get any more sunshine for the rest of the month, it won't be until Leap Day this Saturday. Pretty much trying to repeat much of the final third of last month.

Meanwhile on the 12z British model...

Or Marches 2016, 2009, or 2007.

Though Dayton and Columbus look lucky in that run.

This past January in Cincinnati failed to measure a daily 1+" snowfall for the first time since January 2015 and at least the 29th time ever recorded. Of all those instances, at least 20 Februaries that followed those Januaries would have at least one day with a daily measurable snowfall of at least an inch. The earliest last 1+" snowfall on record is January 19, 1955 with a daily measurable snowfall of 1.4 inches. In Columbus, this past January failed to measure a daily 1+" snowfall for the first time since January 2017 and the 22nd time since records began in 1883-1884. Of all those instances, 15 Februaries that followed those Januaries would have at least one day with a daily measurable snowfall of at least an inch. Currently, CMH is on track for the second earliest last 1+" snowfall on record with a daily snowfall of 1.5 inches that occurred back on December 15th, only behind the earliest last 1+" snowfall on record on December 13, 2016 with a daily measurable snowfall of 3.2 inches. In Dayton, this past January failed to measure a daily 1+" snowfall for the first time since January 1998 and the 15th time since records began in 1893. Of all those instances, 12 Februaries that followed those Januaries would have at least one day with a daily measurable snowfall of at least an inch. 1918-1919 is the only season where every single month (even October, November, March, and April) failed to measure a daily 1+" snowfall the entire season. Currently, DAY is on track for the second earliest last 1+" snowfall on record with a daily snowfall of 1.3 inches back on December 16th, only behind the earliest last 1+" snowfall on record on November 27, 1931 with a daily measurable snowfall of 5.3 inches.

A 70-degree day or two during the final third of February, anyone? j/k #springiscoming

After heading into mid-to-late February....

GDPS doesn't have this, either.

Next week, guys. We're done. We can write off this week knowing how it's going to be. Next week ought to be a little bit more sunnier. Indianapolis mets are apparently starting to hug the January 2017 analog already. https://fox59.com/2020/01/27/too-many-cloudy-days-and-more-on-the-way-cloudiest-january-in-three-years/ Won't be long until Chicago mets start talking about the cloudiest January on record in 1998, as well as the top 4 cloudiest streaks below: Chicago’s longest strings of cloudy weather: 1. 12 days: December 29, 1991 – January 9, 1992 2. 10 days: December 16-25, 1895 3. 9 days: February 4-12, 1897 4. 8 days: January 22-29, 2017

Mid to late February at the earliest, based on these.

Another crappy weekend this weekend. This Thursday looks to be the best shot for any sun in the forecast at the moment. Otherwise, it's safe to write off this final week of January. Based on how this upcoming last week of January shapes up, I still can expect the first weekend of February to be totally sunless like these past couple of weekends. It's rigged.

January 2017 analog unfolding. Maybe worse......the late December 1991-early January 1992 analog, as well. Based on observations from wunderground.com, during the latter analog, Dayton was without sunshine for 11 consecutive days from December 28, 1991 to January 7, 1992. https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/oh/vandalia/KDAY/date/1991-12-28 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/oh/vandalia/KDAY/date/1991-12-29 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/oh/vandalia/KDAY/date/1991-12-30 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/oh/vandalia/KDAY/date/1991-12-31 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/oh/vandalia/KDAY/date/1992-1-1 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/oh/vandalia/KDAY/date/1992-1-2 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/oh/vandalia/KDAY/date/1992-1-3 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/oh/vandalia/KDAY/date/1992-1-4 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/oh/vandalia/KDAY/date/1992-1-5 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/oh/vandalia/KDAY/date/1992-1-6 https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/oh/vandalia/KDAY/date/1992-1-7 I see Chicago last had any sunshine back on last Tuesday. NWS in Chicago has no sunshine through at least Wednesday. If that happens, it would at least tie the 4th cloudiest stretch on record of 8 days that occurred just back on January 22-29, 2017.

As of January 19th, a recording of 0.3 inches now places Dayton for the 6th least snowiest January on record. Dayton's Top 10 Least Snowiest Januaries: 1. None - 1944 2. Trace - 1933 2 (Tied). - Trace - 1932 4. 0.1" - 1989 5. 0.2" - 1923 6. 0.3" - 2020 (currently, as of January 19th) 7. 0.4" - 1916 8. 0.7" - 1950 8 (Tied). - 0.7" - 1919 10. 0.9" - 1908 Also as of January 19th-20th, Cincinnati now ties for the least snowiest January on record with only trace amounts.

Since the final weekend of December, every single weekend had an overcast day occurring on at least Saturday or Sunday, even with precipitation. The final weekend of December, as well as this weekend have been absolute shutouts. Next week does not look to be any better. Neither would Groundhog Day weekend be any better at all, according to the GFS that has been hinting it for almost every run for several days. I'm beginning to favor the weekend solutions, especially on the GFS. At this going rate, this winter will be mostly remembered for its sunless weekends.

I had a feeling this would be a crappy weekend since this past week was that kind of week sunshine was hard to come by. Wall-to-wall overcast skies with a soaker yesterday followed by a raw overcast Sunday with temps in the mid teens the entire day and mood flakes.

Columbus has had only a trace of snowfall so far this month. The previous Januaries that Columbus only had a trace of snowfall the entire month were 1944 and 1932 (both tied for the least snowiest January on record), however one of the two Februaries that followed those Januaries were better. February 1944 recorded 8.8 inches of snow while February 1932 only recorded 0.4 inches of snow. Columbus' Highest Daily Maximum Snowfall During Those Februaries: February 1944: 4.3 inches February 1932: 0.4 inches As of today, Dayton still only has a trace of snowfall this month. With January 1944 as the least snowiest on record without any snow at all (not even a trace), the previous Januaries that Dayton only had a trace of snowfall the entire month were in 1933 and 1932 (both tied for the 2nd least snowiest January on record). January 1944 that didn't have any snowfall, let alone a trace, was followed by February of that year recording a monthly snowfall total of 8 inches. February 1933 recorded 3.2 inches of snow while February 1932 recorded only 0.6 inches of snow. Dayton's Highest Daily Maximum Snowfall During Those Februaries: February 1944: 3 inches February 1933: 1.5 inches February 1932: 0.4 inches As of today, Cincinnati literally has no snowfall so far this month, not even a trace. Never has Cincinnati had gone through a January without any snow since records began in 1872. The least snowiest January on record is only a trace back in 1989, tied with 1944, 1933, 1932, and 1923. February 1989 recorded 3 inches of snow while February 1944 recorded 5.8 inches of snow, February 1933 with 4.1 inches of snow, February 1932 with only a trace of snowfall, and February 1923 with 3.6 inches of snow. Cincinnati's Highest Daily Maximum Snowfall During Those Februaries: February 1989: 1 inch February 1944: 2 inches February 1933: Same as above February 1932: Trace February 1923: 2.7 inches

2015-2016 and 2016-2017 both made the top 10 warmest winters on record at Dayton. 2015-2016 had a snowfall total of 12.7 inches while 2016-2017 was the most recent single-digit snowfall season with only 8.5 inches. March 2016 almost made it to one of the top 10 warmest Marches on record while March 2017 ended slightly warmer than normal, despite a prolonged cold period in the 2/3 of March. The coldest low temperature so far (and will likely be for) this season was 5 degrees back on November 13th with the second coldest low of 8 degrees on December 19th. It is still currently a lock that we'll still have single-digit snowfall totals after we begin February. Could be one of those years that we may not really have to pay for it as much in March and/or April. #springiscoming #twentyhundredandburnttoacrisp

We may very well be going into February still with single-digit snowfall totals so far this season. Still sitting at a snowfall total of 7 inches as of December 16, 2019. So far this month, only a trace of snow was recorded just a week ago. Dayton's Top 10 Least Snowiest Januaries: 1. None - 1944 2. Trace - 2020 (currently, as of January 4th) 2 (Tied). - Trace - 1933 2 (Tied). - Trace - 1932 5. 0.1" - 1989 6. 0.2" - 1923 7. 0.4" - 1916 8. 0.7" - 1950 8 (Tied). - 0.7" - 1919 10. 0.9" - 1908

Too cloudy, as well that January. Sunshine at DAY that month was only about 13%. Chicago was without sunshine for an 8-day stretch during the final third of the month which was the 4th longest stretch behind the all-time stretch that occurred in late December 1991-early January 1992. Thus, it was the 2nd cloudiest January ever in Chicago behind 1998.

Really going to pay for this November next month.