shaggy

Need some calm weather and seas on June 2nd. Going on a half day trip on the carolina princess. We went out last year on the Capt stacy and did good but there were close 80 people onboard and at one point only 5 or so of us were up fishing the rest were laid out. We had 5 to 7 waves and an occasional bigger set closer to 8 to 10 feet.

Got a guy from garner on another forum claiming he had a cantaloupe sized hailstone from this storm. Not sure they understand that's really really a big stretch. Might as well have said he saw unicorns!

The ground scarring is pretty cool to see. Damaged homes not so much.

So does that mean they determined it was just one tornado instead of two. I heard Wendell and zebulon? Also confirmed one for Stanley county from the may 11th storms.

Sounds like there are going to be 2 confirmed tornados. One in Wendell and one in zebulon. Video of the tornado in Tyrell county is awaiting confirmation and a potential tornado in greene county northwest of snow hill.

Will be worth watching wral at 5pm I bet they're going to have some epic hail footage.

Some monster hail being shown back near garner.

Looks solid on radar as well

Slight risk up for Sunday so I guess we will see how much instability we can get going.

Luckily it looks as if cloud tops are warming as it begins to interact with land on the NW side of the core. Still gonna be a big hit for them.

This one escalated quickly. Just upped the winds to 135kts and has landfall sooner. Not sure of the population where its headed but it could be really bad.

TC Fani is looking to threaten India as a strong hurricane in a few days. Projected landfall of 110kts as of the latest advisory.

So figured I would revisit this thread since it's been active so far this spring. Last year was the exception to our research. I only saw 6 confirmed tornados for last year and we had florence. Florence was an anomaly all of her ow though.

As it turns out cyclone Kenneth went through a period of RI and made landfall as 140mph storm. Strongest in Mozambique history.

Comoros island is seeing gusts to 75mph as a 100kt cyclone misses them just north. Gonna make a second landfall around 115kts tomorrow.

In my experience any time you have clouds and rain before the main storms are suppose to arrive the severity of the event is questionable. It takes a great setup to get widespread severe in those situations but it does and can happen. Just gonna be a wait and see kind of thing.

The nam was pretty bullish on a big set of supercells last weekend developing ahead of the front and it was worse case and it didnt happen. When I see such extreme solutions I always suspect it as being bogus.

a bunch of years ago we had a "heavy shower warning" as a line of non-thunderstorm showers moved through and actually produced gusts to 70mph in greenville. I remember it because I was on my in to work when the warning came over the radio and we got nailed. It was winter time too though. The wording out of MHX seems to suggest heavy showers will still be enough to mix the LLJ down to the surface Friday evening. There is a typo where he says thursday instead of Friday. Additionally, the primary band of prefrontal moisture convergence will cross the area Thursday night and even though instability will be somewhat limited, showers and thunderstorms will bring the potential for damaging wind gusts as they readily mix the very strong LLJ winds to the surface.

Sounds like a windy day here in eastern nc friday even without the storms. A very strong LLJ (>60 kt around 925 mb) will develop across the area as the stacked low passes inland, riding northward along the Appalachian chain Friday and Friday night. LLJ winds will readily mix to the surface during the day, bringing strong/gusty winds, especially to coastal areas. A wind advisory or warning may be needed for at least some of the area. From a severe weather perspective: Instability is the question as a moist prefrontal airmass will keep skies cloudy and there is potential for showers ahead of the primary band of convection, both inhibiting factors for the development of surface based instability. Still, shear is strong enough to justify a continued slight risk of severe weather from SPC,

Was on 421 on my way to siler city around 6pm and the rain was incredible.glad I wasnt going through there when this happened.

We were at jockeys ridge Saturday and it was so much windier on top of the dunes than even the parking lot. Wish I had my kestrel with me. It was pretty darn chilly too with waves of sea fog rolling past us.

We broke out around 10am in the coastal plains and the temp jumped up fast. Still under mostly full sun with a few high clouds at times. HRRR has cone around to showi g a better line of storms so we will see if these inhibiting factors can be overcome.

Veronica is looking nasty and it's amazing how well trevor held together. He should reorganize quickly once he is away from land.

Me and downeastnc have a bet riding that we wouldnt see any more winter weather. He is all happy that the models are trending wetter. I still say it will be hard to get accum snow north of highway 70 in the coastal plains unless the models really blow up the precip on the NW side.

The trend all year was for storms to cut and I know it's not scientific but some years we see snow every couple weeks or like this year it seems to rain every Saturday. Repetitive patterns dont seem to break easily. Another example is the year DC had 3 to 4 huge storms. That year the pattern was repetitive relative to storm track. This year is the same just with a much further northwest track.