Really would like to see some ticks south tomorrow morning because the southern CT crowd aint lookin too hot atm..
Last 4 cycles of the EPS. Looks like two distinct camps on the last run of the EPS that are hanging back
BOX:
Given there is still uncertainty on the intensity/track of the low
sliding through we are also somewhat uncertain on the exact extent
of the strong winds. Overall NAEFS/EPS situational awareness tables
are quite meh.
Alright which one of you guys did this?
Never seen 'meh' in an AFD before lol
oh absolutely we have weatherbell and weathertap for radar. I would never use it alone but it has a lot of additional things i like, like the gridded chart of point data from the ECMWF.
Damn i didnt know F5 had a simulated radar for the UKMET and going out to 156hrs+. Thought it was just SV, never seen you post UKMET stuff from there before. Do they have a lot of other panels like qpf and upper levels that go out that far?
It's still a massive shift south, what he said is still valid. Even though the time periods on the maps dont match, it is a big change at 00Z.
Here's the same time period.
can you post some pics from 144-168? I think it's that storm vista site that has those in precip panel maps..everything else seems to just go out to 144
Still a lot of spread on the GEFS. Lots of amped coastal huggers but also still a ton of strung out whiffs. Snowfall mean and probs went way up due to the increase of a few big members in there.
you don't say
I do agree it's gonna be tough down here in SSNE with no real cold air in place which ive mentioned before. Gonna need a pretty close to perfect soln and at D6 anythings still on the table. The ensembles being N leaning is what gives me the most pause despite the OP runs. Lot of hits for C/NNE and only a couple down here.