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The 4 Seasons

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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. The 4 Seasons
    RGEM with a solid bump NW and GFS ticks SE. Doesn't seem to be any real trend amongst models.
  2. The 4 Seasons
    Icon holding steady, if anything bumped NW at 6Z. And the crazy RPM not backing down. Still feel strongly about a widespread warning event across SNE. Expect those NAM runs to be a hard over-correction and come back at 12/18 today. The HREF distribution seems reasonable to me atm.
  3. The 4 Seasons
    Watches/warnings will be up statewide. BOX expanded across the region and went with warnings for SE MA.
  4. The 4 Seasons
    12K and 3K backed wayyy off. Seems the SLP isnt nearly as strong, almost 6-8mb weaker on the 3K in response to the H5 SW flattening out a bit compared to previous runs.
  5. The 4 Seasons
    00Z EPS Solid improvement. Still showing a lot of members to the NW of the mean.
  6. The 4 Seasons
    You can always go up
  7. The 4 Seasons
    Run-to-run qpf trend. I'd say the overall look is better everywhere, solid improvement at 12Z for the Euro.
  8. The 4 Seasons
    Nice solid bump W at 54/60. Not gonna be huge across the board but as expected its better
  9. The 4 Seasons
    S/W digging more, more of a neg tilt at 36. Coming NW 4 sho.
  10. The 4 Seasons
    12Z RPM came in zonked again, takes another ride over scotts house and does donuts in the backyard. 4-8 region wide, 8-16 in the mtns.
  11. The 4 Seasons
    Wow. On the RGEM. That trend GIF is LOL
  12. The 4 Seasons
    Ignore the hole over CT thats wrong probably due to a time cutoff in snowfall amounts. This was the top analog yesterday/last night on GFS/NAM. This is Feb 7th 2003 (showing up as Feb 8th 00Z/Feb 7th 7PM)
  13. The 4 Seasons
    This thing is outta here fast. What is that PD2? I meant Feb 7-8 2003. The mini nuke that dropped 18" of SE MA but was a general 5-10 for most of SNE. We had some crazy rates and thundersnow that storm. I believe it was mentioned here by Will yesterday. Buy yea Feb 7-8 2003 was the analog showing up. I think this is PD2.
  14. The 4 Seasons
    I did notice Feb 2003 showing up as the top analog on CIPS for the GFS/NAM yesterday/last night. Ill be curious to see whats there today after the 12Z runs load today. We'll prob put out a first call later today. Gotta run. sending s for the 12Z suite..
  15. The 4 Seasons
    NAMmyy northwest for sure this run. Much better overall compared to 00/06 runs but not as zonked as 18z yest.
  16. The 4 Seasons
    NAM looks better already at H5. Think this is coming NW this run.
  17. The 4 Seasons
    Still lots of spread NW of the mean. Some really amped members in there that would dump 6-12 region wide, a bunch of advisory level solutions and lots of whiffs too... 1/3/6" PROBS. Bumped up a bit from 00Z. Bump up across SNE on the qpf as well.
  18. The 4 Seasons
  19. The 4 Seasons
    The overnight RPM runs were hilarious thats all i have to say
  20. The 4 Seasons
    How does that compare to 00z and 18z...its a shame the data flow from the nws has stopped for the 16.
  21. The 4 Seasons
    From what I can tell pretty much everything went a solid jump NW or ticked NW except the NAM. But I'm on my phone and only glancing at them.
  22. The 4 Seasons
    The run-to-run (main cycles) changes between the new GFS16 and EC are stark. Much better consistency on one.
  23. The 4 Seasons
    RIP Corey.
  24. The 4 Seasons
    UKMET continues the theme. Big jump NW. Cape scraper.
  25. The 4 Seasons
    STD Feb 4 2021
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