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The 4 Seasons

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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. The 4 Seasons
    im down to like 3 LOL. Death valley
  2. The 4 Seasons
    H5 looks SIGNIFICANTLY better at 30/33HR.
  3. The 4 Seasons
    Latest RPM @weathafella Seems to resemble a little better look at reality for what the outcome will be than that last zonked run. 4-8" across much of the state.
  4. The 4 Seasons
    The NAM has been quite bi-polar over the last 8-cycles. Back and forth we go.
  5. The 4 Seasons
    Even with the SE 6Z NAM with very paltry qpf outcome 600-800 avgd F-GEN would put some good banding into CT and E MA, NW of the best fronto. Those qpf amounts dont really match whats going on with mid levels on the NAM. We're waiting for the 12Z cycle to come out then going to put out a map but leaning toward a 4-8 or possibly 6-10 type event for most of CT.
  6. The 4 Seasons
    Its a tick SE but doesnt look like anything major. Hopefully just an off-hour blip. Would like to see some consensus with 12Z runs today.
  7. The 4 Seasons
    HRDPS also NW, no surprise
  8. The 4 Seasons
    Last RPM Run for @weathafella
  9. The 4 Seasons
    6z GEM also came back NW/stronger. Wish the GFS16 didn't go down again but what can ya do
  10. The 4 Seasons
    RGEM with a solid bump NW and GFS ticks SE. Doesn't seem to be any real trend amongst models.
  11. The 4 Seasons
    Icon holding steady, if anything bumped NW at 6Z. And the crazy RPM not backing down. Still feel strongly about a widespread warning event across SNE. Expect those NAM runs to be a hard over-correction and come back at 12/18 today. The HREF distribution seems reasonable to me atm.
  12. The 4 Seasons
    Watches/warnings will be up statewide. BOX expanded across the region and went with warnings for SE MA.
  13. The 4 Seasons
    12K and 3K backed wayyy off. Seems the SLP isnt nearly as strong, almost 6-8mb weaker on the 3K in response to the H5 SW flattening out a bit compared to previous runs.
  14. The 4 Seasons
    00Z EPS Solid improvement. Still showing a lot of members to the NW of the mean.
  15. The 4 Seasons
    You can always go up
  16. The 4 Seasons
    Run-to-run qpf trend. I'd say the overall look is better everywhere, solid improvement at 12Z for the Euro.
  17. The 4 Seasons
    Nice solid bump W at 54/60. Not gonna be huge across the board but as expected its better
  18. The 4 Seasons
    S/W digging more, more of a neg tilt at 36. Coming NW 4 sho.
  19. The 4 Seasons
    12Z RPM came in zonked again, takes another ride over scotts house and does donuts in the backyard. 4-8 region wide, 8-16 in the mtns.
  20. The 4 Seasons
    Wow. On the RGEM. That trend GIF is LOL
  21. The 4 Seasons
    Ignore the hole over CT thats wrong probably due to a time cutoff in snowfall amounts. This was the top analog yesterday/last night on GFS/NAM. This is Feb 7th 2003 (showing up as Feb 8th 00Z/Feb 7th 7PM)
  22. The 4 Seasons
    This thing is outta here fast. What is that PD2? I meant Feb 7-8 2003. The mini nuke that dropped 18" of SE MA but was a general 5-10 for most of SNE. We had some crazy rates and thundersnow that storm. I believe it was mentioned here by Will yesterday. Buy yea Feb 7-8 2003 was the analog showing up. I think this is PD2.
  23. The 4 Seasons
    I did notice Feb 2003 showing up as the top analog on CIPS for the GFS/NAM yesterday/last night. Ill be curious to see whats there today after the 12Z runs load today. We'll prob put out a first call later today. Gotta run. sending s for the 12Z suite..
  24. The 4 Seasons
    NAMmyy northwest for sure this run. Much better overall compared to 00/06 runs but not as zonked as 18z yest.
  25. The 4 Seasons
    NAM looks better already at H5. Think this is coming NW this run.
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