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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons
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New England Met Winter 2022-2023 Banter
The 4 Seasons replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Whats up with this new thumbs down emoji? It looks nothing like the others stylisitcally and ghetto af... -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
The 4 Seasons replied to George001's topic in New England
You check on your boy Kevin? He hasn't posted since Friday morning...for the first significant snowfall of the year statewide he's uncharacteristically quiet -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
The 4 Seasons replied to George001's topic in New England
Don't see any reason to change from 4-8 statewide, most of the overnight runs support and increase confidence in that. Still a bit of time to go some may have to adjust a tick up or down depending. Will be looking a bit closer tomorrow to see snow growth and bufkit and fine tune a bit OKX/BOX latest has nudged up numbers, we have a watch for Litchfield now. Tips fav, the Icon seems to be hitting that CT crack pipe at 6z, looks like 8-10 for the state, ha. -
EPS 3-run trend, not including off-hour, is shrinking the spread quite significantly and converging on a coastal track that would be favorable for much of SNE. GEPS/EPS seem in pretty good agreement right now with GEFS being the far NW outlier, takes the mean Low right over CT. We're still pretty far out in time ~132hrs but the >6" probs are pretty high for this time lead for a good chunk of SNE...which also have dramatically increased since last run.
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Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
The 4 Seasons replied to George001's topic in New England
OKX throwing out first numbers, high end advisory seems reasonable. 4-6/4-8 for most of the state looks good. -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
The 4 Seasons replied to George001's topic in New England
33 weenies and counting, now thats gotta be a record. George is gettin sweaty! -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
The 4 Seasons replied to George001's topic in New England
Ukmet looks pretty significantly south to me and a bit less qpf havent really looked into thermals or much deeper than that -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
The 4 Seasons replied to George001's topic in New England
At this range? practically noise. 18/00z for comparison at the same time frame bc 18z only goes out this far. Looks likes a tic south and a tic less snowfall. -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
The 4 Seasons replied to George001's topic in New England
Same with the Canadian mean and its members. Another south tick but fairly weaker with the mean -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
The 4 Seasons replied to George001's topic in New England
I use that and Meteo Centre (UQAM). Seems to be one of the fastest and doesn't skip frames as much as TT tends to. It was a popular site back in the day of 14/15/16 era. Don't see much attachments from there anymore though. Numerical Weather Prediction Maps | MeteoCentre.com -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
The 4 Seasons replied to George001's topic in New England
Another Tropical Tiddies fan i see -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
The 4 Seasons replied to George001's topic in New England
a few more runs and the HRKEV will cave -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
The 4 Seasons replied to George001's topic in New England
I don't think so, we're just excited, you know...for like the 99.9% of members who like snow on this board. No one should be expecting anything at this timeframe, but it's a legitimate threat. And given the model trends and recent run-run consistency + ensembles coupled with this putrid winter and lack of snow, it's expected. -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
The 4 Seasons replied to George001's topic in New England
too low. -
Feb 28th-March 1st long duration Miller B threat
The 4 Seasons replied to George001's topic in New England
All down hill from here. How do you have it so fast? WSI that far out already? Wxbells only out to 36. -
Nice surprise, in the 20s now
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You got 2" yesterday morning?
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72 days and counting without a tenth of snow.
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Just using CoCoRaHS
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Snowfall progression for CT's 22-23 season.
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Snowfall totals from this morning's light snow.
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What are you at for the season? i dont see you on the New England Snow page.
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Here's where were at to date. This winter is so bad that i had to create 3 new zones. I split 0-20 up into 0-5, 5-10 and 10-20. Usually 0-20 covers the low end because by this time almost nowhere in CT has that little snow. But not this season, not this year.
