The 4 Seasons

Still lots of spread NW of the mean. Some really amped members in there that would dump 6-12 region wide, a bunch of advisory level solutions and lots of whiffs too... 1/3/6" PROBS. Bumped up a bit from 00Z. Bump up across SNE on the qpf as well.

The overnight RPM runs were hilarious thats all i have to say

How does that compare to 00z and 18z...its a shame the data flow from the nws has stopped for the 16.

From what I can tell pretty much everything went a solid jump NW or ticked NW except the NAM. But I'm on my phone and only glancing at them.

The run-to-run (main cycles) changes between the new GFS16 and EC are stark. Much better consistency on one.

RIP Corey.

UKMET continues the theme. Big jump NW. Cape scraper.

STD Feb 4 2021

Snowfall events for CT. We are at a total of 7 right now. EDIT:9..added the last two

yay. its about that time. hopefully its GL...

Not sure if this is the best place for this. But here is the STD snowfall for CT. Thanks for all the reports.

12Z GEFS probs went up quite a bit across the board. 1/3/6/12 shown. (FYI i just posted the Season To Date snowfall for CT in the snowstorm memories page, as well as all the event maps to date)

Nice tick NW on the GFS16. Good to see the H5 SW sharper and dig a little deeper. Stronger SLP. Overall system looks a lot healthier run-to-run. We take.

i tend to think of it like the Global NAM

probably the highest in CT. Maybe Union a bit higher with that 10" amount from Dec 5th but we have no reliable reporting from up there.

Agree 100%. Just to be clear, i said "in the cards"...def not my forecast or what im expecting atm. We're going in the right direction today and thats what matters right now. I'm becoming a real fan of the GFS16 this winter (Dec 16-17, Feb 1-2) and looking back at the past 4 runs or so its had the least dramatic swings at the sfc and H5 from other models ive seen. (Real quick plug, im working on updating the season-to-date snowfall map in CT, so this is for anyone who hasnt updated their new england snow page @Damage In Tolland @tavwtby @CT Valley Snowman @RUNNAWAYICEBERG @metagraphica @H2Otown_WX that would be very helpful to get it done. ty)

That's a nice panel that wxbell doesnt have, thanks

1/3/6" probs went way up obviously.

12/18/00/06 EPS Lots of spread to the NW on the latest run.

a solid swath of 6-10 is in the cards though for SNE, and another day-timed event for most i dont think anyone will be complaining with that

Solid bump NW on the 6Z EPS as we expected. Good to see. Now we need this to continue at 12Z

12Z vs. 18Z vs. 00Z EPS

00Z EPS wasnt great but there were a few N members in that. About 6-8 adv level or higher hits vs almost nothing on the 18Z EPS

This season feels like 00-01..big boys only. Now we just need a Mar 4-6 01 repeat