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The 4 Seasons

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. I hope doesn't turn out to be one of those situations where 10-20 miles and a few hundred feet up means the difference between 12 and 1... would be the ultimate 22/23 kick in the nuts for us death valley and/or coastal dwellers
  2. during that cold blizzard? Jan 28-29? I wouldn't use them for that kind of system i think it highlights the lower elevations and coastal areas that would struggle more than the hills but wouldnt take it face value
  3. its "positive" though so its the max accumulation, not current snow depth. If you go back in time it looks the same
  4. Just out of curiousity, whats the Narcan spitting out for the euro op run?
  5. Euro snow maps are showing 1-3 for W CT and 3-6 for NNJ. For us and coastal areas with temps in the mid 30s and 0.1-0.3/hr rates im not sure how much of that would actually accumulate as always up and in higher elevations would do better. The shore and low elevations i think would struggle to accumulate at all really, then you have a pretty sharp qpf drop off to the NE. Id probably wouldn't go more than a coating to an inch for really anywhere in the state right now. Higher elevations in NFF, NNH county and Litchfield would be the best spot to possibly pick up an inch or two
  6. Put those stats from yesterday into a graphic but the numbers are slightly different to match the climo for March 7th. Snowfall to date compared to normal to date for Northeast select cities.
  7. Snowfall to date compared to normal to date as of March 7th 2023 for Northeast select cities
  8. Thats why i wrapped that 1-2 around the city/coast and did not include them. Decaying system and a very marginal BL with temps starting out in the 40s plus urban heat island...a lot of the snow maps had advisory level snowfall in the 2-4 range right through the city
  9. Those climate sites look right, and ISP with 0.4. The others i pulled from Cocorahs or the NWS 72-hour snowfall map
  10. Why does pivotal look drastically different? It's the UKMET so who cares either way but 976 near the BM vs this looks entirely like a different run/model. Is the UKMET-G different from pivotals UKMET?
  11. Just for you. The two additional totals you gave me. I corrected the colors to what they should be. I use the light yellow for low end warning amounts, dark blue for advisory amounts, light blue for sub advisory and white usually for 0 or less than 1. Similar to what the NWS uses. The only reason i changed that this time is because i wanted to differentiate between the large area that was going to get zero and the areas with a coating-1 and 1-2, so i needed 3 colors for that. Then for the verification i wanted to keep the same colors so it was easy to look and match up the zones. But for recorded keeping purposes i reverted it back to the original colors, what i normally would use.
  12. That's what the CLI has.. Unless they change it its a trace
  13. UKMET is south, shocker. This one is toast barring some miracle. On to the next one.
  14. GFS/Icon is essentially a whiff now, congrats. This was hanging on by a thread, now it's over.
  15. Ants lookin for another inch or two to double his seasonal snowfall this year. god bless that man
  16. Perfect. That should hold. The 84hr NAM is as rock solid as a Dodge Ram, aint nothin movin that bad boy..yeehawwwww. Winters back boys
  17. yea its a lot of work but fun, i agree. When the winters over im gonna make a bunch of them with different stats using the graphics that i normally do for this winter
  18. Snowfall totals from this morning. Did pretty well with the forecast overall but missed that far western area that ended up in the 2-4 range with one 4.5" report. I tried to include the reports i found here but its hard to fit a lot of those numbers in such a small area. If there was an official ob from an airport i most likely used that.
  19. i thought it was a hundi, but still $40 is good, easiest bet ever.
  20. I have no idea what this sentence means. It's pretty easy though just go to the NWS any area click on the climate tab, then click on NOWdata and you'll see it. The percentages and snowfall to tie record I calculated myself with some simple math. Hope that helps
  21. Yeah i said that in the post, just didnt include it until all the airports come in with their CLI around 4:30pm today. It's not that better up here. BDR has a great shot right now of beating the all time record, they need another 3.3 to tie and 3.4 to beat it Im only at 8.9 even here.
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