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The 4 Seasons

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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. The 4 Seasons
    it's over, it's done pack it in.
  2. The 4 Seasons
    Lol I get severe whiplash reading through these pages. Still worth watching for a moderate event but obviously a big hit looks off the table. Still concerning EC wants nothing to do with it hopefully some kind of agreement at 00Z.
  3. The 4 Seasons
    Yeah I'm just as baffled as you are. everyone is on edge and a 6Z gfs run 90 hours out pushed them over I guess 00z trends were great overall I thought. Totally agree. Was worth watching then and worth watching now. We really need a KU for the sake of sanity of this place lmao
  4. The 4 Seasons
    you def poking all kinds of bears this morning, just one of those days
  5. The 4 Seasons
    2022?
  6. The 4 Seasons
    you're in a fine spot for a couple assuming we get a good band over CT but i can see it sucking for most of the state at low elevations with just white rain.
  7. The 4 Seasons
    Eh, its one run, one cycle, with >84hrs to go. Lots of time to go. It's not what you want to see but i expect waffling and flip flopping to happen at this range. storms rarely trend consistently in one direction up until go time. Again, the euro will be important today. AIs barely budging and even trending west is also a good sign.
  8. The 4 Seasons
    pretty much, the AI models have been steady and consistent. Id like to think that was a fluke run but the GEFS jumped off a cliff and jumped way E, the mean cut down significantly.
  9. The 4 Seasons
  10. The 4 Seasons
    AIFS 6Z bumped west
  11. The 4 Seasons
    you in Mattepoisett now, damn thats a rough spot for snow lovers
  12. The 4 Seasons
    really would like to see Euro trend west at 12Z and the ensembles. I dont expect GFS to show hit after hit at this range, waffling happens, having the European suite on board is more important.
  13. The 4 Seasons
    Op went east, AI went west go figure
  14. The 4 Seasons
    00Z AARP also looked like it would be an absolute nuke past 84. the 00z run, 6z is still coming out
  15. The 4 Seasons
    1993 wasnt that bad for E areas. 8.8 from weymouth COOP at the time. obv west was best, but it was a good front ender for nearly everyone except for the Cape
  16. The 4 Seasons
    right. and i think thatll give us an idea along with every other single piece of guidance what the ec/eps/ai will do, id be shocked if it were the same or worse.
  17. The 4 Seasons
  18. The 4 Seasons
    well both can be true. ill show you in a sec
  19. The 4 Seasons
    GEFS looks great, heres the 00Z trend 4-cycles
  20. The 4 Seasons
    big improvement, came noticeably west.
  21. The 4 Seasons
    yea as long as it tics west id be fine with that even if its a scraper again.
  22. The 4 Seasons
    It's coming.
  23. The 4 Seasons
    yeah i mean with how bad that thing is, all i look for is an indication of trends, but even that can be questionable with something like the Icon.
  24. The 4 Seasons
    your ICON is west, but weak af
  25. The 4 Seasons
    Hes absolutely right. The Jan 24th event was the big system in the mid-range...id say about 120hrs +/- 20 hrs, somewhere in that region, it was being modeled as a big dog 12-16"+ event region wide on multiple models, then it fizzled and turned to shit, somewhat. @George001 remembers. I know this stops at Jan 27, but that storm didn't even exist at this point, it was all the first system Jan 24th. I dont have much saved from that event but heres one run.
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