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The 4 Seasons

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. i just looked back at 12z runs looks like GFS/EC had it but it was mostly confined to W/NW CT. band ended up SE of what those modeled it
  2. yea with temps and ptype issues possible i think im done here. 0.6" from the first round, 7:00AM. Everythings white again, plows going by looks nice. seems like more but thats it.
  3. Canada oh, Canada RGEM/GEM consistenly had a solid hit run after run, pretty much since the rgem came into range and before that on the GEM. 00Z did waver slightly last night 00z run and ticked SE, then came back NW at 6Z.
  4. NAM had it about everywhere past 2 days, can't miss when it buck shots every possible soln.
  5. personally i have high confidence it will. its all good but i think you cancelled this storm like 4 times and then youre back then 6 hours its over...take a break...itll snow again, probably sooner rather than later you're still paying the piper for 2015, but that times gotta come to an end
  6. sunday is done homie pack it in, stop chasing unicorns
  7. snowing good, everything coated good flake size. hopefully get an inch or so from this first one
  8. Pulling a Feb 5 2016 out of the hat Still cautiously optimistic on a moderate event Canada ftw
  9. i guess, its hard for me to trust the NAM at any point ill look at inside of 24hrs for trends and bufkit and whatnot but it fell flat on its face inside of 6 hours on 12/23
  10. Best dynamics are from Litchfield to Putnam to Morris and then the band shifts east and rips for an hour or two. its been all over the place so i wouldn't trust much of this but it really beefed up qpf across CT into LHV NJ from 6Z.
  11. That would be solid advisory level snowfall for Nrn Litchfield HRRR gone wild
  12. yeah, RAPGW, 3Z was like nothing and 9Z went nuts with that band over CT
  13. The RGEM/Canadian is the only operational camp that never really wavered much with this system showing a moderate storm for Sunday/S. night and never really liked Saturday and kept it confined to the NW hills/Berkshires/Taconics, at least in the past several cycles. Of course the AI has been pretty steadfast as well with the GFSAI more bullish than the AIFS. Well see what ends up happening, there is still about 48-54hrs to go but i just wanted to note that.
  14. I was just looking back at a similar one from last year in early Feb that had like 6 snowstorms and 50" of snow I have saved. That worked out well. Sick run though
  15. GFSAI 6Z would be warning snows back to the NY boarder...another good bump NW and beefed up is the takeaway though 00Z AIFS also bumped NW good trends along with the 6Z GFS. EC/EPS still the farthest se but going in the right direction just need to see more from that camp, besides the AI stuff.
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