The 4 Seasons

Thank you, constantly being updated, worked on and improved. New Lower Northeast views being added to the historic storms section. With updated maps for each storm. Here's the original thread explaining everything -

I never could have guessed this would happen, i thought it was 100% lock! The vanishing act of clown range op runs, who could have guessed

Coincidentally, Jan 19th was the first region wide storm last season, though we're off to a much better start this one. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-19-2025

yea wow the AIGFS looks great, good trends. It's likely mostly snow, toss that look on Icon on TT. Lets just bring it back west and stronger and we can worry about thermals later. But that AIGFS is mostly snow.

i didn't realize the title said 18-19 initially this was 15-16 focused but whatever, the whole thing is a dumpster fire.

are watches up yet?

AI GFS/ AI ENS both came W/NW for the Sun 18th wave fwiw

i wouldn't...at all. 12" dec and 23" jan (or more) sounds great. If i was constantly comparing to other areas id drive myself crazy looking at surrounding areas that always do better. its been rough in PA past 5 years, let them have it.

Only 88" to go

Tales from...you know things are bad when... If there was an imminent large storm to track or we were on the eve of one, no one would even mention it. But it's all we got, OP fantasy colors. Def keep an eye on this one, though it's got a shot. 18 GEFS still has a good handful of hits or just near misses- depending on where you live.

Jan 28-29 2022 i assume, 4 years, coming up on it. Jan 7th 2022 here ...id love to put some purple/pink colors back on these maps in present time

i like that. it was a Sopranos reference, i guess no one picked up on that

Revenge is like serving cold-cuts

Yeah about 7/30 have a moderate/strong hit, so its showing up on the mean like this (24-hr)

sure jan.

That is 10" in W. Thompson. That was the storm that had massive subsidence outside of those main mega bands and caused a serious snowfall gradient around them. Reports in the surrounding areas were similar with 12.5" in putnam and 10" in hampton. If it was just one rogue report i might consider tossing it but there were many that fell off sharply once you got out of that main banding. Also don't forget this was the storm where i had a very long conversation with @JC-CT about his 9" report in Columbia despite all the surrounding reports being in the 13-22" range. I believe him and thats why there is a hole over Columbia. Same thing with @metagraphica14.5" report in Salem. It can be very hard to discern whats legitimate and what's not especially in a storm like this thats long duration, lot of wind, and subsidence outside of banding. But i definitely think those reports are legit considering everything surrounding it is in the 10-13" range around Thompson. Here's the revised updated maps i just finished, ct, sne, tri-state are also updated https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-28-29-2022

damn.

oh gotcha, that makes more sense. That was basically unprecedented since record keeping. Even crazier that it happened it a near ratter winter that was on the level of 2001 or 2006 the way it started

we should just make this futility thread considering who made it and the stupid title it has, just post all the garbage, meltdowns and whining and complaining in here, why not.

I'm sure something like that will happen again, many times. 2022 wasn't too far off just a slightly toned down version. Looking at the track it still surprises me that heavy snows weren't thrown back much farther W, 976 right over the BM or a hair SE. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-26-27-2015

That is low, re doing this now. just to your east was 18 and 20" in east lyme and 21.5 in Colchester. Thank you

looks pretty sweet

@metagraphica do you know exactly what you got on 1/28-29/22 blizzard?

Jesus, better move to Barrow. I think 5/5 would be nice.... 1/1 spring and fall, assuming its deep winter.