thunderbolt

Amen to that brother I just locked into a year contract at $3.08 a gallon compared to last year which was $2.25 a gallon

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I’m Starting to keep my eye on the stratosphere at this present time some of the models that I saw have The stratosphere relatively week until roughly the beginning of December and then have it strengthening which if it does come to fruition would not be good for blocking down the road if the PNA is negative you could keep your shorts out in the middle of January

Please do

Ok

I believe we are at 105.2 for the north Atlantic

Just by looking at the animation if I were to guess A hi end cat 4 possibly cat 5

Sam is definitely going to be bumping up the ace that’s for sure

Can one of the moderators please change the title to a Tropical storm Sam

TROPICAL STORM SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1820211500 UTC THU SEP 23 2021THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 38.1W AT 23/1500ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NMPRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MBMAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM SAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1820211500 UTC THU SEP 23 2021THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.9N 38.1W AT 23/1500ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

I totally agree with you brother I’m just telling you what the model showed

And it’s a fish storm

Looks like GFS at hour 180 is north compared to 18z

Well this got interesting overnight

I’m surprise the moderators still let him post

Yo MJ didn’t someone say it was going to be a very quiet September This doesn’t look Quiet to me

You would think with that stout ridge over Alaska and the blocking over the pole it would be a little bit colder I guess the south east ridge is flexing his muscles

Well according to One person it’s in Poor shape

Don’t forget about Pennsylvania

For this it was definitely a moderate La Niña. El Niño and La Niña Years and Intensities Based on Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) Jan Null, CCM Updated thru May-Jun-Jul 2021 The Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) has become the de-facto standard that NOAA uses for identifying El Niño (warm) and La Niña (cool) events in the tropical Pacific. It is the running 3-month mean SST anomaly for the Niño 3.4 region (i.e., 5oN-5oS, 120o-170oW). Events are defined as 5 consecutive overlapping 3-month periods at or above the +0.5o anomaly for warm (El Niño) events and at or below the -0.5 anomaly for cold (La Niña) events. The threshold is further broken down into Weak (with a 0.5 to 0.9 SST anomaly), Moderate (1.0 to 1.4), Strong (1.5 to 1.9) and Very Strong (≥ 2.0) events. For the purpose of this report for an event to be categorized as weak, moderate, strong or very strong it must have equaled or exceeded the threshold for at least 3 consecutive overlapping 3-month periods. El Niño - 26 La Niña - 23 Weak - 11 Moderate - 7 Strong - 5 Very Strong - 3 Weak - 11 Moderate - 5 Strong - 7 1952-53 1951-52 1957-58 1982-83 1954-55 1955-56 1973-74 1953-54 1963-64 1965-66 1997-98 1964-65 1970-71 1975-76 1958-59 1968-69 1972-73 2015-16 1971-72 1995-96 1988-89 1969-70 1986-87 1987-88 1974-75 2011-12 1998-99 1976-77 1994-95 1991-92 1983-84 2020-21 1999-00 1977-78 2002-03 1984-85 2007-08 1979-80 2009-10 2000-01 2010-11 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2008-09 2014-15 2016-17 2018-19 2017-18 [Click HERE for full-size image of this graph]

Good

I know the Jersey shore got hit pretty good with some storms in fact there was a fatal at Seaside and lifeguard passed away