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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. Chinook
    The newest HRRR says 0 to 0.15" freezing rain for Toledo and up into the 0.30" range north of town.
  2. Chinook
    By the way I found this the other day. I don't believe I saw any observation of a -36 on the Platte River area in the entire time I lived there.
  3. Chinook
    I think that areas that are already 6F or more below normal from Jan 1-21 don't have a big chance to turn it into a positive for the month, because it would take something like a +12F for Jan 22-31 to undo it.
  4. Chinook
    freezing rain or "unknown precipitation" (possibly sleet) hitting the area
  5. Chinook
    Highly varied areas had their lowest Jan 14-20 7-day average temperature
  6. Chinook
    Freezing rain and sleet starting in Oklahoma, with maybe a bit of drizzle/32 in Texas
  7. Chinook
    It's usually bad news if the GFS forecasts a lot of freezing rain. The NAM usually likes to overdo freezing rain QPF and/or freezing rain accumulation on ground.
  8. Chinook
    This was HRRR sounding with the max CAPE for Lake Michigan today. This is significant, for wintertime, sfc-700mb CAPE. In the old days, it was difficult to get the NAM soundings to show this realistically. Hmm the values displayed on here are 53 J/kg for 3CAPE but 163 J/kg for MUCAPE, so that doesn't really match up. I don't really know how that happened.
  9. Chinook
    My area got 1.5-2.0" with maybe a few bits of enhancement from Lake Huron, as the clouds and the light snow stuck around. Here's the radar with some storm reports around snowy Cleveland tonight.
  10. Chinook
    A lot has happened this month. Here are my loops of the previous couple of weeks. I didn't save quite as many 500mb maps, since the initial Nor'easter of the month actually wasn't that interesting at 500mb. https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Jan_1_17_2024_250mb_loop.html https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Jan_6_17_2024_surface_loop.html https://great-lakes-salsite.web.app/Jan_8_17_2024_500mb_loop.html
  11. Chinook
    The GFS has about 0.1" QPF by 18z or 1:00PM, but the NAM 12km/3km have less, like 0.01" to 0.03" QPF by that time, but the HRRR gets snowier by 18z. So I guess it's a bit of a battle of NAM vs everybody. It's been kind of a long time since I actually went down to the 0.01" values of QPF to actually care about something, because, you know, rain doesn't make a sheet of ice.
  12. Chinook
    Here's the newest NWS snow map, which is sort of non-continuous around Toledo. It's much higher than the approximately 1" that last night's models were saying.
  13. Chinook
    you guys were off the bottom end of the color-bar in January.
  14. Chinook
    impressive amount of snow in the south
  15. Chinook
    when -57 is a number that's not in Siberia
  16. Chinook
    Here is what I was talking about with the Portland area, intermountain area snow, up to and including RMNP
  17. Chinook
    This has been pretty historic in the sense that you don't see a lot of -40F to -50F in North America, outside of Alaska. Also some large snowfall values from Oregon (also freezing rain there) to Idaho, Utah, and Colorado (in addition to what we've been discussing here)
  18. Chinook
    Nashville area: snow picking up to light but steady values, considering this radar and 1.5 mile visibility
  19. Chinook
    This is one of the nastiest storms that I could think of stretching from Portland well into the Snake River Valley, neither of which commonly have heavy winter precipitation. You can see rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow on this map. Near zero degree temperatures east of the Cascades is uncommon, especially with these wind chills below zero with the 10mph-20mph winds.
  20. Chinook
    I wonder if updated versions of this data set will include realistic spotter reports of.. well, maybe, however much you think Kankakee got.
  21. Chinook
    The super band has shifted a little bit from earlier in the day-- the buoy offshore has wind gusts to 46mph, and Buffalo airport to 58mph (severe level)
  22. Chinook
    these are all gusts (knots)
  23. Chinook
    there may be a wind chill warning for -60
  24. Chinook
    so you say it missed part of Michigan? Like Flint?
  25. Chinook
    new snow
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