Maestrobjwa

Isn't this the essence of why Ninas don't work here? If you're more likely to have a stronger NS wave...and have to rely more on that, aren't those kind of scenarios gonna be more likely overall? (Now I don't understand why it is that in Ninas, everything seems to want to shift east or northeast, smh) And that particular storm you're referencing...was that that one where the GL low screwed everything up? Or are you referring to the 2017 one when we ended up with two inches of sleet? Lol

Gettin' diggy with it?

Which day was that? Lol

If we're talking about historical trends...there does not appear to be one that offers hope for a better season than that: the solar minimum. I looked through BWI records and compared them with the estimated years that the minimum "bottomed out". There hasn't been a time where one of the two years surrounding the minimum didn't give us a decent (at least average) winter. And from what I can see...all but one time actually had above average snow (and the exception--the minimum of the 40s, still had a winter that logged 18 inches). So it doesn't appear that we've ever gone without the minimum giving us some kind of benefit...so we shall see.

I knew somebody was gonna bring that up, lol (I meant to add that I was excluding that year) Yeah but look how anomalous that is. I have trouble factoring that into what I'd expect from a nina because that happened just one time in 130+ years--so probably not a good idea to count on that. Safer to bet on what they've normally done aside from that one data point!

Uh...dude? Nobody here would want that result--not just me! After the 2016/17 and 2017/18, I'm not sure why you're acting like my dislike of ninas isn't logical (check the stats and see how well we do in ninas here).

Will we ever forget the infamous Cantore out in the rain photo? Lol

And here we have our region failing at failing...had to ruin the shutout historical record, lol

Man NO!!!!! La nothin'! If I had to choose between a nina like 2016/17 or 2017/18...and a winter like this, I'm tempted to pick this winter. See low snow totals + folks just east/northeast of ya cashing in feels worse than low snow totals and everybody getting screwed. The close misses are the heartbreakers...and la ninas, by nature, seem to have more of those than the other ENSO states. Best place in MD to be during a la nina is the beaches (or perhaps Northeast MD). Otherwise, heartbreak...

Man, no!! Now look, if we are gonna fail, then fail properly...just go for the historical record (or at least not such an occurrence recorded since 1882). of not even a trace of snow recorded in February. But of course...I could see us finding a way to fail at failing, lol

Dang, it hailed here in the city too? Around what time?

What in the world? Ya know, something told me they were gonna come back...lol (but I turned it off because I had to do a couple things!). Just watched the highlights...that was truly clutch! Could this team finally be the one that can make a deep run?...

Was thinking something along those lines...lol That we may have to follow the yellow brine road to find some snow!

Do you notice that you sometimes write 0z like "Oz"? Lol

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=3056561437689538&id=100000071343185&_rdr To lighten the mood...I came across a story about this video. This lady is many of us here if we reach that age, lolol (oh, and she's still alive--and now 105!)

Layin the troll jelly on thick today, aren't ya? Lol

One thing to add a bit of hope for our snow future...Looking through our history of solar minimums and the winters around them, it appears there has only been one minimum on record (that is, back to 1883) where we didn't get above average snow either the winter of the minimum or the winter after...and that was 1954. (And even then we did get 19 inches in 55/56). All the rest had an above average winter within 1-2 years after the minimum. I think I like that trend

I hope you're right...because this has been a bit of a rough run even by our standards. Barring any March miracles, one warning event in 4 years is rough even for us, I'd imagine... (this is when you pull out data to show that this isn't unusual, lol). But being just 29, I guess most of my lifetime we have gotten a good punch every few years...and have not had a dry spell without a warning event (at BWI, that is...not including DCA's footer last year, lol) last longer than 4 years. So perhaps it seems worse because of that!

So would it be better to look at the raging +++++AO winters and the winters that followed?...

I actually do wanna know...so we know whether we may need to cancel next winter already, lol (off the top of my head...at BWI, I know 1998-99 wasn't much...2012-13 kinda sucked, and 1973-74 was actually halfway decent total-wise)

Why are you guys torturing yourself with these snow maps? I mean, mercy...a snow map240 hrs out? What in the world does that even mean in any kind of season--let alone one like this one? Lol

I think from here on...no winter outlooks until December. Just don't do it, lol Don't even bother (unless it's a mod nino or something)

Dang...is the first week of March hail mary window already closed? If so...oof. That would be a typical end to this winter, smh

Just enough to fail at getting a record fail for the month...lol

Dang man you already giving up on next winter? Lol From your posts it sounds like you don't think we can get a decent winter again...I'd rather wait a few more years. If we continue to fail, then...maybe a change in climate will be a concern for our snow chances...