Maestrobjwa

I hope your skepticism is right. Because otherwise...wouldn't that kinda endanger our overall snowfall chances in the future? (I mean I guess we'd have to rely on other factors...) But as you and others have indicated, perhaps it is too early to tell whether this trend will continue for years to come--particularly given the somewhat decadal pattern we've seen in our records.

I just wanna know why, man...Been like 9 or 10 years of this mess. Is this simply climo now? Smh I hope not...I hope what seems to be a decadal cycle will break the other way for us soon...I mean this is ridiculous.

The theme has been..."EURO or it didn't happen"...lol

Yeah seriously...I mean, is it that hard to fix?

Yeah but even so...does it have any other support?

Always the GFS...lol

Figures when Turgeon has his best season ever with the Terps...then this happens! Bad luck, misfortune, whatever ya wanna call it...that has really got to suck!

Are you sure about that? Unless I'm looking at it wrong, the benefits usually happened either the winter of the minimum (i.e if the minimum was like October and the winter that followed was good--like the 1995 minimum) or the following winter (which is what happened with the 2008 minimum) That's why I was thinking this winter would count as one and perhaps whatever lag effect there is we would see next winter.

Eh, at this point it's whatever...I'm waiting for the summer when we can start getting ENSO clues, lol I'll have to play a bit of a fool to go against your 5-10" prediction...but since we've never gone through a solar minimum without profiting with at least an average winter...I'll go with history and hope it continues, lol

Early morning? Which means it would not be any TV at all...lol

I was actually just about to say something about that, lol Man I'm gonna be picky and hope we can get .2 of an inch that just to save this winter from being a one incher at BWI...lol

Not to be rude...and I know tracking season is on it's last week or two...but shouldn't these kind of things be discussed in one of the other threads?

Forgive me, but the last 5 (or how ever many years Turgeon has been here) years have me quite cynical when it comes to the Terps and the playoffs. It feels like every dang year all they do is look good regular season...then choke! The team this year looks like the best Turgeon has ever had...but I am highly suspect of his ability to coach a team to a championship.

Congrats on the promotion! (are you still at Carver?) And seriously, ain't none of us has any business judging what anybody else is doing outside of what's posted here. That was completely unnecessary, smh

And this is why tracking anything past the first week of March can SUCK!!

I'd like to know what the point of having a weather model go out to 384 hrs is...I mean seriously, why? And for crying out loud why can't they just fix the dang cold bias on the GFS?

Again with the GEFS...lol The few times the GFS or GEFS shows a morsel of hope the Euro/Eps comes in and says "Nope!"

Looking over BWI records...this would only be the fourth time on record that we've failed to crack the 2 inch mark. If we fail to get anymore this winter, then two of those times would have happened within the last 10 years, smh (the other time was 1972-73 where we only got 1.2 inches)

"Again"? I'm not sure there have been many footballs put down in the first place, lol I guess the only remotely close "football" was a few weeks ago...and even that was lower percentage at the start with no EURO support. And I'm almost fully expecting you to say eps says no in a couple hours (but I hope you spare us the maps, lol...why ya torture yourself and us with those is beyond me...WHY?)

Hopefully another neutral + minimum could be better...If you wanna look at history, I'd lean more towards average snowfall...all the minimum years hit that or better within a year...But of course, climate...so who knows.

Yeah you don't know my brain, lol Suckage is suckage...living through it is not easier. Just like we knew the +AO would suck...doesn't make it any better. Coming on here, having all the negative emotion reinforced...hearing forecasts of mild records everywhere...how the heck does expecting less make that better? Heck, I dread this for next year, and it will still suck if it happens. I don't think the "abandon hope" option works for everybody. For example: I will never trust a nina again and will always expect the worst. But that doesn't mean that all the crap that usually comes with a nina (close misses, perpetual snowhole, beaches clobbered, n + e cashing in) still isn't gonna be depressing. Low expectations don't equal things being pleasant.

So what is it leaning towards? Another neutral? (or nina?) And punting another winter?...Mercy...I'm hoping the solar minimum saves us next year. All the other ones on record seem to have given us average or better.

I'm actually starting to worry about next winter. Same... Expecting suckage doesn't make any suckage suck less...Just like you can expect your team to lose a big game...but it still sucks anyway. I know for me...lowered expectations doesn't always translate to lowered disappointment when it doesn't work out.

For me, the only "torture" of 55 degree temps with blocking in April is more a torture of regret and frustration--because you are reminded of how you DIDN'T get that blocking and/or -NAO when you needed it in winter. Call it...the torture of weather unfairness, lol

If we are now at the point where neutral ensos are no longer 50/50 and more likely to be bad than good, and we can only score in ninos...that's a sad reality. Seeing as we may only get like what...1-2 ninos per decade? That would mean we'd only hit above average 2 out of 10 years. Man I hope that's not the reality we're looking at...(and why does it seem like ninas happen more times in a decade than ninos?)