Maestrobjwa

Hey wait a minute...I remember you from last year. So you complain about a post having no value with a post that also adds no value...nice.

If that's your opinion, take it up with the moderators. And there's also an ignore button too. (And I find it interesting that you singled just me out for this...)

If SC were to out-snow us this year...mercy. I hope we are repair for this in early March or next year.

I got ya. my comment was slightly tounge-in-cheek--not a criticism (sorry it came off that way). It was more of a "that's a long way to go to see if the positive trends will hold", lol) But I get how you're looking at things...and have in turn started to pay more attention to what you and others have been saying about the overall pattern, long wave tracking (or lack thereof), etc.

384 hours is too long of a way to go man...lol

That would suck if we saw the same movie play out two weeks in a row on the modeling...but, that's this winter for ya. As far as I'm concerned this threat is it for February as far as getting anything shovel-worthy this month. It ain't snowin' on the last week of February...that's my story and I'm stickin' to it, lol (kinda)

Hello! Mid-Atlantic dweller here...Now I'd caution against thinking the euro being on an island is a good thing. Last Friday it was on it's own showing a cutter a cutter up here...until all the other guidance caved to it the very next day, lol Not to say it definitely happens the same way, but...just something to consider!

So last week it insisted on cutter and was right...and this week it insists on suppressed...so I suppose we gotta assume what it shows is gonna happen unless, well, it changes, lol (stating the obvious, lol)

Man I hope we don't draw a la nina next year...that would be a punch in the gut after going through all this (unless we pull off a miracle thos witner) While winters like this one are tough...la ninas are straight-up heartbreakers with the propensity for close misses, smh (la nina means snowhole 75% of the time). If I had to choose between la nina and what we have now...man, I don't know. 2017-18 killed me, lol At least we don't have to hear about folks south and east and northeast of us cashing in while we sit here snowless! Ya know, if we were in a better position to score during la ninas...our overall snow average would probably be a little higher! Because you just think if losing 2 or 3 winters per decade to a la nina...get those back and we'd be better, lol

It must have...brought the precip further north...lol (looks more like it's ensemble members at 18z)

Someone posted this on Twitter:

I didn't think the runs were that bad...but if what PSU said is true and that the two more likely options are suppressed or cutter...then no, not a particularly good day. But, ya never know...

Man I don't wanna hear about any dang upper elevation snowstorm, lol I'm like Bob...if it ain't odds for here I ain't interested. For March, give me an 8 incher or more and we can talk (heck, I'd even take right at WSW criteria). March saves are awful down here and may have only happened 3 times (at the most) in our history.

Ah so basically...this has a low likelihood and really not worth tracking? (I could understand that...if those are the only two options then perhaps we should just skip it?)

I think they are the most useless tool known to weather (at least outside of a reasonable timeframe...I wish they'd only be shown when there is an imminent storm)

Man the Great Lakes are becoming my least favorite place on the continent, seriously...I'd avoid visiting up there out of sheer protest of it them being our snow enemy, lol

Dude...it's not showing a cutter. So let's just take that little blessing for now, lol

I'd much rather have something to track 10 days out, than to have to wait 10 days just to have a chance at tracking something ANOTHER 10 days out from there. Mercy...I'd much rather something come from THIS Day 8-11. (And as I stated above, my own historical bias for not believing in end of February snow)

What late Feb snows (that is, after the 22nd or so) has this look led to in the past? Couldn't have been any in the corridor...I don't know of any that were above an inch or two. That's why I always write off the last 5-7 days of Feb every year because it's pretty much a null-zone historically.) Now I know the first week of March probably has some hits in there...

Ohhh yes...I was just thinking about that storm! I was up late (as usual) and saw some of the action with those rates! Awesome storm!

I see. Now what was it that last night's EURO did?

I wasn't trying to...was just asking hypothetically if we were to see something like that, would it be a good thing or a bad thing--not whether it would actually happening or not. I see the snark game is high today...lol

At least last night's EURO didn't show a cutter...so there is that difference, lol

What would that mean, exactly? Another cutter?

Hey I think I can take the EURO...Now shows suppression to the south a la the Canadian (but later). Thought it was intriguing that both EURO and GEM also tried to have a low off the coast at hour 240. Now of course hour 240 and may be a fantasy quirk, but just odd. Now I'll let the more experience met minds weigh in on what can or can't work, lol