Maestrobjwa

Does the +++++AO (yuck...gotta wash my mouth out with soap) correlate to the strong PV?

I continue to believe that...if we were to pull out a miracle snow or something...and it is enough for us to shovel...it'll be a foot, I'm telling ya. Problem is the odds are still long. Just saying though...with a fluke, or us getting lucky with timing or whatever...we already know that it would likely be more than enough moisture. So I think we either fluke and get a foot, or continue on the way we have (with maybe a couple mangled flakes at best). Hard to see it being an in between 5-8 or something...not in a year like this, lol But again, long odds atm...not saying or pinning any hope on something...just a guess on what might happen if we get a miracle, lol

Advancing faster towards doom or a sliver of winter hope? Lol

Now wait a minute, we just watched this last week...is the GFS gonna fail the same way two weeks in a row? Lol Now that would be truly pathetic (and it's even the same day of the week! If it indeed plays out like that...somebody is clearly trying to troll us, lol)

Now that's just wrong man, lol WHY?

I'm going to guess 97-98 had more teases than this year Did it? Now I was only 7 so I don't remember a bunch, but from what I've heard...there was a whole lot of nothin', lol

I'll take it at this range...lol That high is in the usual cutter zone!

And another question...What is this biggest "thread the needle"/fluke storm we every got in a completely hostile pattern?

Now is this similar to what the other models (outside of the Euro that nailed the actual outcome) were doing with this week's rainer at first? (or was that some other convoluted setup)

What I don't understand is why the other models fell for the trick last week, lol

Okay I've gotta ask...exactly how old are you? (I have been curious due to how you often mention not getting any younger and such...lol)

Local met Vytas Reid on here rubbing salt in the wound...outlining how much snow we'd have if all this rain were frozen. Nice one, dude...(along with repeated emphasis that we were "rainy not snowy") That was probably the most depressing local news forecast I've ever heard...oof

Nah I think he's kinda the opposite...he actually doesn't do weather hype (he even says it on the top of his Twitter page, lol) I follow him on Twitter--he's pretty straightforward, imo

Well, I don't think it's worth it now until at LEAST 7 days out...am interested in why Cranky likes that period of time though.

Who knows...get back to me if it's still there on Friday, lol (and even then I'll only bat half of an eye...)

March 2018: 6.7" (but 3 inches from the storm) November 2018: 1.7" January 2019: 7.8" (but only 4.8" from the storm that gave DC a foot)

Lol Yeah I know. Sometimes I forget to specify my home measuring station of BWI

True...I don't know of a another stretch where you could count on a 12" storm every 3-4 years...and a two-foot every 6-7 years. We had been able to time that with a watch...but, barring a bit of a miracle, it looks like that stretch may end this year... And I'm well aware of the battle zone...but even around here...a year like this is particularly rough (and now it's been 4 years since the last big one...and we've only had to shovel once in the last 4 years)

Okay...so then what happened in the following year? (2012-13) Nina? (looks like that was crappy...but with 8.7 inches instead of 1.8, lol)

https://m.jpost.com/International/El-Niño-could-hit-at-the-end-of-2020-physicists-warn-612747 El Niño 2020-21 Let's GO! And I don't mean these stupid fake ninos of the last couple years. Bonafide MOD NINO...(but not a super one...might not do us much good, lol) And I don't care how this is 9 months too early...want long range? Here's your long range!

Ya know, I had thought about whether what some of us seem to suffer from bears any comparison to SAD/SDD (like an opposite form, almost). But ya hit on the head, though...And see, it's so illogical to be depressed about this when, as @stormtracker said, you're still breathing and in relatively good health. And yet still, some of us struggle...and I don't quite understand why. So many blessings that we couldn't count them all...and yet some of us sit here being depressed from a lack of snow? I don't get it...it's like an entity that has some kind of control over the mind or something. I get the feeling some truly haven't mastered how to always have things to look forward to...that could be the center of it. If you have trouble throughout the year...then along come DJF and ya start placing your hopes on having snow to look forward to, and we have a season like this instead...and boom. Hence the result. Not a good cycle to be in! (Hey, maybe we oughta start a snow psychology thread...lol Or perhaps a perspective thread people can go to to remember how NOT big of a deal this has to be!)

Yes--you have been all the better for being too busy to check in here regularly! (But undoubtedly you've felt the crapiness of the pattern, lol)

My mind went to a similar place, lol I was gonna rail on this winter for messing yet another thing up!

Why?

Thanks for taking the time to write that response, Bob. Yes...there are times when it does adversely affect my life way more than it should...and I really don't know why or how to manage it, tbh. (and I have trouble controlling the sadness the non-snow brings. Snow potential gives the hope of something exciting/fulfilling to look forward to in DJF...) But when an entire season looks bad from January, it's like...the entire winter becomes colored with a gloomy brush (that's how PSU's analysis felt last month)...like the entire Jan and Feb were now worthless, down the toilet, nothing to look forward to, etc...it's tough when this controls ya like this.